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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

30.07.2026 16:45 UTC

Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Villanovense - Cacereno

Football

Villanovense

- : -

Not started

Cacereno

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Cacereno — 59%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cacereno): model 32% · market 61% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Villanovense19.1%

market18%

X · draw22.1%

market21%

2 · Cacereno58.9%

market61%

Model estimate: win Villanovense 19.1%, draw 22.1%, win Cacereno 58.9%. Model favourite — Cacereno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Villanovense (odds8.20) Score 2:1 confidence 54%

• Model backs Vilyanovense 🇪🇸: probability 54% vs 12% on the line (odds 8.20)
• edge over the line +41 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villanovense - Cacereno July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cacereno.

Line favourite market consensus: Cacereno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.05 / X 4.25 / 2 1.49
1X2 market: Villanovense 18.0% / X 21.4% / Cacereno 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.4%

1 17.9%

X 21.3%

2 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Villanovense 1 : 1 Cacereno

15.38

X4.10

21.49

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 67'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

67'

4% 14% 82%

Villanovense (1) Draw (X) Cacereno (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 16:45 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Cacereno 59%

💹 Market Cacereno 6054%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Villanovense - Cacereno

Form 0/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Match Participants Line

More needed

Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Villanovense 17.4% 19.1%

Draw 22.1% 22.1% draw risk

Cacereno 60.6% 58.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 19.1% / 22.1% / 58.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,481 Villanovense / Cacereno

RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 899-2,063 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 58.9%

X 6.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 5.15 market consensus · no value · model 19.1%

Double chance

12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 77.9%

1X 5.00 Fonbet · no value · model 41.1%

X2 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 80.9%

Handicap

2 -1 1.84 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.93 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	4.75 21.1%	5.38 18.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.50 18.2%
X	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%	5.00 20.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.10 24.4%
	1.53 65.4%	1.49 67.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.23 81.3%	1.99 50.3%
yes	3.60 27.8%	1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.07 93.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.08 92.6%
1x	2.93 34.1%	2.44 41.0%	5.00 20.0%
x2	1.02 98.0%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	13.00 7.7%
0_1	7.00 14.3%
0_2	7.00 14.3%
0_3	10.00 10.0%
0_4	17.00 5.9%
0_5	41.00 2.4%
0_6	81.00 1.2%
0_7	126.00 0.8%
1_0	13.00 7.7%
1_1	7.00 14.3%
1_2	6.50 15.4%
1_3	9.50 10.5%
1_4	17.00 5.9%
1_5	41.00 2.4%
1_6	81.00 1.2%
1_7	126.00 0.8%
2_0	23.00 4.4%
2_1	13.00 7.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls

2025-08-06 · Vilyanovense 0:2 Kasereno

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 9 (Pari) · X 5.9 (Betcity) · 2 1.28 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	9	5.5	1.27
Fonbet	9	5.5	1.27
Betcity	8.2	5.9	1.24
Liga Stavok	8.4	5.2	1.28

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Cacereno

24.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Cacereno 1:1 Khaen 🇪🇸

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillanovense - Cacereno

Villanovense

0 matches total

Cacereno

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Villanovense - Cacereno

AI match prediction Villanovense - Cacereno July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Now in play

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Buy the full AI analysis

Villanovense - Cacereno

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history