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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Villarreal - Levante

Football

Villarreal

- : -

Not started

Levante

Villarreal go head-to-head with Levante on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Villarreal 1-0-1, Levante 2-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Villarreal — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Villarreal): model 57% · market 59% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Villarreal ✓ Pick58.7%

market59%

X · draw22.6%

market23%

2 · Levante18.8%

market19%

Model estimate: win Villarreal 58.7%, draw 22.6%, win Levante 18.8%. Model favourite — Villarreal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Villarreal (odds1.58) Score 2:0 confidence 63%

• Model backs Vilyarreal 🇪🇸: probability 63% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Levante August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / X 4.20 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 4 books · best price +1.3%

1 ✓ Pick 58.8%

X 22.7%

2 18.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.60 → 1.60

1X2 X 4.00 ↑ 4.20

1X2 P2 5.10 → 5.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

League table

Villarreal

#3683 ptsGP 11-0-03:1

Levante

#1276 ptsGP 22-0-03:1

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Villarreal

W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.44 Conceded 1.88 xG 1.44 xGA 1.79

Levante

W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.54 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.47 xGA 1.07

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Villarreal

Rating 1693

Levante

Rating 1783

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center

Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Market 1 59.0% @ 1.60 / X 22.5% @ 4.20 / 2 18.5% @ 5.10

Match center

Villarreal - Levante

football, Vilyarreal - Levante, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Vilyarreal - Levante, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 2/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Villarreal 58.8% 58.7% market and model agree

Draw 22.7% 22.6% draw risk

Levante 18.5% 18.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 58.7% / 22.6% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,905 / 1,663 Villarreal / Levante

RD 294 / 252 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,316-2,494 / 1,160-2,166 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.10 Fonbet · no value · model 18.8%

X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 58.7%

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 77.4%

1X 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%

X2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.3%

Handicap

2 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.77 market consensus · line only

2 0 3.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.05 48.8%	2.08 48.1%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%
x2	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.16 46.3%
X	2.46 40.7%
	5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.63 61.4%
Under 1	2.25 44.4%

Match center

Villarreal

W L

25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Villarreal 3:1 PSV 🇳🇱

18.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Villarreal 0:2 Benfika 🇵🇹

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

3 Points

Levante

W L W

26.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Levante 1:0 Al-Kadisiya 🇸🇦

17.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Levante 0:3 Sheffild Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

11.07 15:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Levante 2:1 Leganes 🇪🇸

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Levante

Villarreal

0 matches total

Levante

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Villarreal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Levante

2 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

3 Scored 0

3 Conceded 0

3 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

2 Games 0

1 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

3 Scored 0

3 Conceded 0

Vilyarreal Levante 2 Games 0 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 3 Scored 0 3 Conceded 0 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 2 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Inigo Peres Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 80% 20% 0% Double chance 50% 40% 10% Materialy po prognozam «Valensiya» — «Vilyarreal». Segunda zhdet! «Levante» — «Real». Prognoz: Zidan poberezhet liderov pered Ligoy chempionov and «klasiko» «Barcelona» — «Levante». Prognoz: Messi, Grizmann and Pike razdelayut «lyagushek» na «Kamp Nou» «Vilyarreal» — «Atletiko». Prognoz: Simeone otvetit na loss ot «Barselony» «Barcelona» — «Vilyarreal». Prognoz: Messi spaset Valverde ot otstavki «Vilyarreal» — «Real». Prognoz: «slivochnye» vyigrayut v izlyublennom stile «Real Madrid» — «Vilyarreal». Prognoz: Zidan vnov wins na svoem pole «Barcelona» — «Levante». Prognoz: Away schedro otovaryat chempionov po nogam «Valensiya» — «Vilyarreal». Prognoz: komanda Cherysheva poberezhet sily «Valensiya» — «Levante». Prognoz: posle Ligi Evropy «letuchim mysham» bu