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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Vis Pesaro - Benevento

Football
V
Vis Pesaro
0 : 0
Finished
B
Benevento
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Benevento62%

Pure model vs market (2 · Benevento): model 52% · market 64% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vis Pesaro16.3%
market15%
X · draw21.2%
market21%
2 · Benevento ✓ Pick62.5%
market64%

Model estimate: win Vis Pesaro 16.3%, draw 21.2%, win Benevento 62.5%. Model favourite — Benevento.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Benevento (odds1.44) Score 1:2 Over 2.5 (odds1.72) confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Benevento 🇮🇹: probability 59% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2
  • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • at line 2.5 (odds 1.72).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vis Pesaro - Benevento July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benevento.

Strongest: Benevento - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.05 / X 4.33 / 2 1.43
  • 1X2 market: Vis Pesaro 15.1% / X 21.1% / Benevento 63.8%
  • Glicko: Vis Pesaro 16.3% / X 21.2% / Benevento 62.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 15.1%
X 21.1%
2 ✓ Pick 63.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 6.90 ↓ 5.60
1X2 X 4.05 ↑ 4.10
1X2 2 1.45 ↑ 1.52

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Vis Pesaro
#13010 ptsGP 20-0-21:10
ARRAY
Benevento
#906 ptsGP 22-0-04:1
ARRAY
Best price across 12 books
1 6.75 Unibet
X 4.90 Unibet
2 1.54 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Vis Pesaro
W-D-L 0-0-7 Scored 0.51 Conceded 4.72 xG 0.43 xGA 3.16
Benevento
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.72 Conceded 0.38

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vis Pesaro 1 : 2 Benevento
15.58
X4.20
21.54

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 15.1% @ 6.05 / X 21.1% @ 4.33 / 2 63.8% @ 1.43
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Benevento 62%
💹 Market Benevento 6375%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Vis Pesaro - Benevento

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.037 / LogLoss 1.550
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 62.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.037 / LogLoss 1.550
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vis Pesaro 15.5% 16.3%
Draw 21.3% 21.2% draw risk
Benevento 63.1% 62.5% market and model agree
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 16.3% / 21.2% / 62.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,353 / 1,700 Vis Pesaro / Benevento
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 770-1,936 / 1,118-2,282 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 62.5%
X 1.25 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.00 market consensus · no value · model 16.3%
Double chance
12 3.60 Fonbet · weak value +183.6% · model 78.8%
1X 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 37.5%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 83.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
6.15 16.3% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1%
X 4.45 22.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7%
1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 2.03 49.3%
yes 3.35 29.9% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 3.60 27.8%
1x 2.35 42.6% 2.55 39.2% 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.10 90.9% 1.03 97.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 10.50 9.5%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 6.50 15.4%
0_3 9.00 11.1%
0_4 15.00 6.7%
0_5 34.00 2.9%
0_6 75.00 1.3%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 15.00 6.7%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 9.50 10.5%
1_4 17.00 5.9%
1_5 41.00 2.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-31 · Vis Pezaro 1:2 Benevento
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 11.5 (Pari) · X 4.7 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.32 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 11.5 4.15 1.32
Winline 10 4.4 1.32
Fonbet 11.5 4.15 1.32
Betcity 11.5 4 1.31
Liga Stavok 9.6 4.7 1.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Vis Pesaro
L D L L W
2026-07-23 Club Friendly Games 2026
Vis Pesaro Venezia 8:0 Vis Pesaro
2026-05-03 Serie C 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Vis Pesaro Juventus U23 2:2 Vis Pesaro
2026-04-26 Serie C 25/26, Group B
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2:3 Sambenedeettese
2026-04-18 Serie C 25/26, Group B
Vis Pesaro Ravenna 1:0 Vis Pesaro
2026-04-12 Serie C 25/26, Group B
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3:0 Carpi
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Benevento
W W W D D
2026-07-19 Club Friendly Games 2026
Benevento 22:0 Asd Calvi Benevento
2026-05-16 Supercoppa Serie C 2026
Vicenza 1:4 Benevento Benevento
2026-05-09 Supercoppa Serie C 2026
Benevento 1:0 Arezzo Benevento
2026-04-26 Serie C 25/26, Group C
Benevento 2:2 Audace Cerignola Benevento
2026-04-19 Serie C 25/26, Group C
Giugliano 1:1 Benevento Benevento
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVis Pesaro - Benevento

Vis Pesaro
0 matches total
Benevento
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history