Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
30.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Waalwijk - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Futbol
W
Waalwijk
2 : 1
Finished
R
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Waalwijk (odds1.65) Score 1:0 (odds7.88) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Valveyk 🇳🇱: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Waalwijk - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen June 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Waalwijk.

Line favourite market consensus: Waalwijk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 4.00 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: Waalwijk 54.1% / X 22.7% / Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 23.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 54.0%
X 22.7%
2 23.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.73 Dafabet
X 4.33 Betfair
2 4.50 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Waalwijk
W-D-L 2-0-8 Scored 0.99 Conceded 2.04 xG 1.54 xGA 1.44 Corners 3.3
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 0.96 Conceded 2.45 xG 1.12 xGA 2.41

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Waalwijk
Rating 1413
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Rating 1353

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 30.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Waalwijk - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 market consensus · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
1.63 61.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8%
X 4.15 24.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.85 26.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4%
4.06 24.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 3.00 33.3%
yes 1.32 75.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 6.50 15.4%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.50 66.7%
5.20 19.2%
10.50 9.5%
11.50 8.7%
6.80 14.7%
11.50 8.7%
7.40 13.5%
8.50 11.8%
9.50 10.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.11 90.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%