UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 AFC Wimbledon — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · AFC Wimbledon): model 50% · market 47% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Wealdstone 27.3%, draw 25.4%, win AFC Wimbledon 47.3%. Model favourite — AFC Wimbledon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Uimbldon 🏴: probability 58% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.96)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AFC Wimbledon.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.50 / 2 1.94
- 1X2 market: Wealdstone 26.9% / X 26.1% / AFC Wimbledon 47.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 1.91 52.4% | 2.06 48.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.69 59.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 2.04 49.0% |
| x2 | 1.19 84.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_5 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.25 | 3.7 | 1.98 |
| Winline | 3.45 | 3.55 | 1.88 |
| Fonbet | 3.25 | 3.7 | 1.98 |
| Betcity | 3.2 | 3.7 | 1.94 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
Milton Kins 🏴
Khemel Khempsted 🏴
AFC Wimbledon
Charlton 🏴
Norvich 🏴
Satton Yunayted 🏴
Full head-to-head historyWealdstone - AFC Wimbledon
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form