Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Wolfsburg - Telstar
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Wolfsburg — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wolfsburg): model 60% · market 57% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Wolfsburg 57.0%, draw 22.8%, win Telstar 20.2%. Model favourite — Wolfsburg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Volfsburg 🇩🇪: probability 59% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Wolfsburg - Telstar July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Wolfsburg.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / X 4.03 / 2 4.60
- 1X2 market: Wolfsburg 57.1% / X 22.8% / Telstar 20.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Wolfsburg - Telstar
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.92 20.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.33 42.9% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.7 | 3.95 | 4.1 |
| Winline | 1.71 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Fonbet | 1.7 | 3.95 | 4.1 |
| Betcity | 1.65 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.73 | 3.85 | 4 |
Lion 🇫🇷
Verl 🇩🇪
Grafskhap 🇳🇱
Sparta 🇳🇱
Full head-to-head historyWolfsburg - Telstar
Match history
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