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31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น - Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
Y
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
-
:
-
Not started
N
Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น โ 59%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น): model 35% ยท market 59% ฮ โ24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น 58.7%, draw 22.6%, win Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท 18.6%. Model favourite โ Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น (odds1.74)
Score 2:1
confidence 53%
- • Model backs Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น: probability 53% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.74)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น - Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น.
Line favourite market consensus: Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 3.97 / 2 5.24
- 1X2 market: Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น 58.9% / X 23.3% / Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท 17.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
1
59.0%
X
23.3%
2
17.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
1.85
โ 1.55
1X2 X
4.10
โ 4.30
1X2 P2
3.55
โ 5.50
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น 59%
๐น Market
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น 5889%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น - Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
60.3%
58.7%
market and model agree
Draw
22.7%
22.6%
draw risk
Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
17.0%
18.6%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
58.7% / 22.6% / 18.6%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,634 / 1,825
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น / Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
RD
239 / 256
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,156-2,111 / 1,312-2,338
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 18.6%
X
4.30
Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.55
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 58.7%
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 77.4%
1X
1.13
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 81.4%
X2
2.35
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 41.3%
Handicap
2 -1
1.90
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
7.20
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
3.85
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
1.85
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.65
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.20
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.05
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
1.72
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 5.20 19.2% | 6.21 16.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.90 20.4% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.03 49.3% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 2.30 43.5% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.35 42.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 2_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 3_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
Match center
Odds ยท 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.76 (Betcity) ยท X 4.05 (Fonbet) ยท 2 6.1 (Fonbet)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.55 | 3.95 | 6 |
| Winline | 1.61 | 3.65 | 4.9 |
| Fonbet | 1.52 | 4.05 | 6.1 |
| Betcity | 1.76 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.62 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
W
D
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
1:0
Standard ๐ง๐ช
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
0:0
Bazel ๐จ๐ญ
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
4
Points
Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
W
W
Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
3:0
Marsel ๐ซ๐ท
Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
4:0
Nim ๐ซ๐ท
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyYuventus ๐ฎ๐น - Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท
Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Yuventus ๐ฎ๐น - Nitstsa ๐ซ๐ท breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form