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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin

Football
Z
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 0
Finished
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zaglebie Lubin.

Line favourite market consensus: Zaglebie Lubin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.43 / 2 2.83
  • 1X2 market: Zaglebie Lubin 40.4% / X 27.0% / Pogon Szczecin 32.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 40.4%
X 27.0%
2 32.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Zaglebie Lubin
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Pogon Szczecin
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Zaglebie Lubin - Pogon Szczecin

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
2.33 42.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.87 34.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 2.86 35.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.13 88.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 4.90 20.4% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.21 31.2%
X 2.15 46.5%
3.09 32.4%
Match center
Zaglebie Lubin
W
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zaglebie Lubin 3:2 Podbrezova 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points