UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg
Zaragoza take on FC Andorra on August 6, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying round. First leg.
Recent form (W-D-L): Zaragoza 1-1-3, FC Andorra 2-2-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 FC Andorra — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · FC Andorra): model 32% · market 47% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Zaragoza 26.7%, draw 27.9%, win FC Andorra 45.4%. Model favourite — FC Andorra.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.64 61.0% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
| x2 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.10 24.4% | |
| X | 2.15 46.5% |
| 2.56 39.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | 1.89 52.9% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.50 40.0% | — | |
| — | — | — | 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.47 68.0% | — |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.6 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Fonbet | 3.6 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.5 | 3.25 | 2.01 |
FC Andorra
Full head-to-head historyZaragoza - FC Andorra
The Zaragoza - FC Andorra breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
