Match center
Start
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Zbrojovka Brno - Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
Z
Zbrojovka Brno
2
:
1
Finished
M
Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Zbrojovka Brno — 58%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Zbrojovka Brno - Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴 July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zbrojovka Brno.
Line favourite market consensus: Zbrojovka Brno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.91 / 2 4.49
- 1X2 market: Zbrojovka Brno 56.2% / X 23.4% / Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴 20.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
1
56.3%
X
23.3%
2
20.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 10 books
1
1.55
Betfair
X
4.40
Dafabet
2
6.25
10Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Zbrojovka Brno
W-D-L 7-1-2
Scored 2.62
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.97
xGA 1.10
Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
W-D-L 2-5-3
Scored 1.43
Conceded 1.41
xG 1.19
xGA 1.98
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Zbrojovka Brno
Rating 1800
Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
Rating 1522
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Zbrojovka Brno
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
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Match center
Zbrojovka Brno - Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.10
Fonbet · line only
X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.16
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.09
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.07
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.96
market consensus · line only
2 0
4.40
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.54
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.29
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.58
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 4.60 21.7% | 4.92 20.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.25 23.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.58 63.3% | 1.76 56.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.55 39.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.01 49.8% | |
| X | 2.30 43.5% |
| 5.90 17.0% |
Match center
Zbrojovka Brno
W
W
Zbrojovka Brno
4:2
Tisakechke 🇭🇺
Zbrojovka Brno
3:0
Niredgaza 🇭🇺
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyZbrojovka Brno - Merkurya-Chuk 🇷🇴
Zbrojovka Brno
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals