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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Zenit SPb - Gimnasia La Plata

Futbol
Zenit SPb
Zenit SPb
1 : 1
Finished
G
Gimnasia La Plata
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Zenit SPb — 65%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit SPb - Gimnasia La Plata July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit SPb.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit SPb. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.70 / 2 7.39
  • 1X2 market: Zenit SPb 67.5% / X 19.9% / Gimnasia La Plata 12.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 67.4%
X 19.9%
2 12.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Club Friendlies

Team stats

Zenit SPb
WDDWDWWWWW
W 7 • D 3 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.4
Gimnasia La Plata
LLWWWWWWWL
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.8

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Zenit SPb
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Gimnasia La Plata
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Preimuschestvenno yasno

Temperature
18.8°
Feels like
18.8°
Wind
13 km/h (gusts 26.3)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
82%
Cloud cover
39%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Gazprom Arena (Sankt-Peterburg, Russia), 20 931 zritel (31% pri vmestimosti 68 134)
Referee Ivan Abrosimov (Sankt-Peterburg, Russia)
Start 05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Zenit SPb - Gimnasia La Plata

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Zenit - Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Club Friendlies 2026. Zenit - Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.68 market consensus · line only
X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.70 21.3%
7.38 13.6% 7.40 13.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.58 63.3% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 5.10 19.6%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.85 35.1% 2.90 34.5% 1.10 90.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.86 53.8%
X 2.34 42.7%
7.40 13.5%
Match center
Zenit SPb
W
01.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zenit SPb 2:0 Dinamo Makhachkala 🇷🇺Dinamo Makhachkala 🇷🇺
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Gimnasia La Plata
W
05.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Gimnasia La Plata 3:1 Dinamo Makhachkala 🇷🇺Dinamo Makhachkala 🇷🇺
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zenit SPb
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Gimnasia La Plata
Zenit SPb Team comparison Gimnasia La Plata
5 Games 0
5 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
14 Scored 0
1 Conceded 0
15 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
leniya 0 Goly Aleksandr Sobolev Gustavo Mantuan 1:0 20' Agustin Ausmendi 1 39'

Zenit Khimnasiya and Esgrima LP 5 Games 0 5 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 14 Scored 0 1 Conceded 0 15 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.4 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Aleksandr Sobolev Gustavo Mantuan 1:0 20' Agustin Ausmendi 1 39'