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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ

Football
Z
Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
- : -
Not started
A
Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ€” 59%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 32% ยท market 61% ฮ” โˆ’29 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ18.3%
market17%
X ยท draw22.6%
market22%
2 ยท Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ59.1%
market61%

Model estimate: win Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 18.3%, draw 22.6%, win Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 59.1%. Model favourite โ€” Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds1.52) Score 0:1 Under 3 (odds1.80) confidence 50%
  • Model backs Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
  • no edge over the line (-16 pp) โ€” informational only
  • Expected score 0:1
  • Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 3 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / X 4.20 / 2 1.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 17.1%
X 22.4%
2 60.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 5.50 โ†’ 5.50
1X2 X 4.20 โ†’ 4.20
1X2 P2 1.55 โ†’ 1.55

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ - Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ 16.6% 18.3%
Draw 22.6% 22.6% draw risk
Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 60.8% 59.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 18.3% / 22.6% / 59.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,520 / 1,500 Zhirona ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ / Arsenal ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD 224 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,072-1,967 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 59.1%
X 4.20 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.50 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 18.3%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 77.4%
1X 2.35 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 40.9%
X2 1.13 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 81.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.86 market consensus ยท line only
2 +1 1.88 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 1.20 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +1 1.88 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
1x 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6%
x2 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.50 18.2%
X 2.33 42.9%
2.05 48.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Under 1 2.25 44.4%
Match center
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1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points