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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Girona - Arsenal

Football

Girona

- : -

Not started

Arsenal

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Arsenal — 49%

Pure model vs market (2 · Arsenal): model 32% · market 49% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Girona25.4%

X · draw26.0%

2 · Arsenal48.5%

Model estimate: win Girona 25.4%, draw 26.0%, win Arsenal 48.5%. Model favourite — Arsenal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Arsenal (odds1.52) Score 0:1 Under 3 (odds1.80) confidence 50%

• Model backs Arsenal 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.52)
• no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 0:1
• Total: Under 3: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 3 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Arsenal August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.85 / X 3.55 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%

1 24.3%

X 26.4%

2 49.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 5.50 ↓ 3.85

1X2 X 4.20 ↓ 3.55

1X2 P2 1.55 ↑ 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

League table

Girona

#1934 ptsGP 31-1-16:5

ARRAY

Arsenal

not in table

Best price across 12 books

1 4.20 10Bet

X 3.75 Betfair

2 1.95 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Girona

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.98 Conceded 1.49 xG 1.62 xGA 1.18

Arsenal

W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.78 Conceded 1.42 xG 1.99 xGA 1.14 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Girona

Rating 1607

Arsenal

Rating 1628

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 24.3% @ 3.85 / X 26.4% @ 3.55 / 2 49.3% @ 1.90

Match center

Girona - Arsenal

football, Zhirona - Arsenal, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Zhirona - Arsenal, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Girona 24.1% 25.4%

Draw 26.3% 26.0% draw risk

Arsenal 49.6% 48.5% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 25.4% / 26.0% / 48.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,520 / 1,500 Girona / Arsenal

RD 224 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,072-1,967 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%

X 3.55 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.85 Fonbet · no value · model 25.4%

Double chance

12 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 74.0%

1X 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 51.5%

X2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.6%

Handicap

2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.08 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.08 48.1%	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.23 81.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.27 78.7%
1x	1.80 55.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%
x2	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.57 21.9%
X	2.13 47.0%
	2.43 41.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.75 57.1%
Under 1	1.96 51.0%

Match center

Girona

D L W D L

2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026

Girona Girona 3:3 Castellon

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Girona Girona 0:1 Alaves

2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026

Girona Olot 1:3 Girona

2026-05-23 LaLiga 25/26

Girona Girona 1:1 Elche

2026-05-17 LaLiga 25/26

Girona Atletico Madrid 1:0 Girona

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Arsenal

D W W W W

2026-05-30 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage

PSG 1:1 Arsenal Arsenal

2026-05-24 Premier League 25/26

Crystal Palace 1:2 Arsenal Arsenal

2026-05-18 Premier League 25/26

Arsenal 1:0 Burnley Arsenal

2026-05-10 Premier League 25/26

West Ham 0:1 Arsenal Arsenal

2026-05-05 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage

Arsenal 1:0 Atletico Madrid Arsenal

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.4 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Arsenal

Girona

0 matches total

Arsenal

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Girona

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Arsenal

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

Zhirona Arsenal 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 12% 22% 66% Double chance 17% 39% 44% Materialy po prognozam Segodnya «PSZh» and «Arsenal» voydut v istoriyu «PSZh» — «Arsenal»: Safonov stanet dvukratnym Ne Safonov, no Khvicha! Vybiraem glavnogo geroya final «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nikakogo otkrytogo futbola! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nu, davay, napaday! Pochemu match «Atletiko» — «Arsenal» prevratitsya v mem V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — net. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal». Prichina, po kotoroy Arteta vyletit iz Ligi chempionov CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments[