UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 05:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Saraevo (Big)

Futbol
Z
Zrinski Mostar (Big)
2 : 1
Finished
S
Saraevo (Big)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Saraevo (Big) July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zrinski Mostar (Big). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / X 4.80 / 2 2.71

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 47.8%
1 60.9%
X 14.1%
2 25.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 05:45 UTC
Match center

Zrinski Mostar (Big) - Saraevo (Big)

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.19 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.90 34.5% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.35 74.1% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.31 76.3% 1.42 70.4% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.37 73.0% 1.49 67.1% 5.10 19.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.21 31.2%
X 2.00 50.0%
3.47 28.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.89 52.9%
Under 1 1.81 55.3%
Match center
Saraevo (Big)
W
01.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Saraevo (Big) 2:1 Suteska (Cher)Suteska (Cher)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points