World Cup - Playoff
World Cup - Playoff
03.07.2026 20:00 UTC round of 32
Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Argentina - Cape Verde

Futbol
Argentina
Argentina
3 : 2
Finished
Cape Verde
Cape Verde
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Argentina80%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Cape Verde — odds 27.00 · edge +3.2% · 16 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Argentina - Cape Verde July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Argentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Argentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 8.04 / 2 21.50
  • 1X2 market: Argentina 83.5% / X 11.9% / Cape Verde 4.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 83.7%
X 11.9%
2 4.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup
League table
Argentina
#19 ptsGP 33-0-08:1
WWWW
Cape Verde
#23 ptsGP 30-3-02:2
LDDD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.18 Betano
X 9.25 1xBet
2 24.00 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • FIFA World Cup - Round of 32

Team stats

Argentina
WWWWWWWWWW
W 10 • D 0 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:2.9 : 0.2
1 place, 9 pts
Cape Verde
WDDLDWWDDD
W 3 • D 6 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 0.8
2 place, 3 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature
30.7°
Feels like
37.3°
Wind
12.4 km/h (gusts 15.5)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
72%
Cloud cover
1%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium hard Rok (Mayami, Florida, USA), 64 478 zriteley (86% pri vmestimosti 74 918)
Referee Dryu Fisher (Kalgari, Canada)
Start 03.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Argentina - Cape Verde

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Argentina - Кабо-Верде, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, round of 32. Argentina - Кабо-Верде, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1%
X 7.10 14.1% 8.75 11.4% 8.00 12.5% 8.25 12.1% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5%
18.50 5.4% 27.00 3.7% 21.00 4.8% 22.00 4.6% 21.00 4.8% 23.00 4.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.35 74.1%
yes 4.05 24.7% 2.93 34.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 7.00 14.3%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
x2 6.09 16.4% 5.40 18.5% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.50 66.7%
X 2.91 34.4%
14.10 7.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArgentina - Cape Verde

Argentina
0 matches total
Cape Verde
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Argentina
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Cape Verde
Argentina Team comparison Cape Verde
3 Games 3
3 Wins 0
0 Draws 3
0 Losses 0
8 Scored 2
1 Conceded 2
9 Points 3
96.33 Attacks 75.67
34.33 Dangerous attacks 25.67
0 Big chances 1
11 Shots on goal 11
4.67 Shots on target 2.33
даления 0 Голы Лионель Месси Лисандро Мартинес 1:0 29' Дерой Дуарте Райан Мендеш 1:1 59' Лисандро Мартинес Алексис Мак Аллистер 2:1 92' Сидни Лопеш Кабрал Эйр Семедо Монтейро 2:2 103' Диней Боржеш 3:2 111' Наказания Кевин Ленини 68' Гонсало Монтьель 115'

Argentina Кабо-Верде 3 Игры 3 3 Победы 0 0 Ничьи 3 0 Поражения 0 8 Забито 2 1 Пропущено 2 9 Очки 3 96.33 Атаки 75.67 34.33 Опасные атаки 25.67 0 Голевые моменты 1 11 Удары по воротам 11 4.67 Удары в створ 2.33 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 3 Угловые 3 2.67 Оффсайды 1.67 11 Фолы 5 58 % владения мячом 37.33 0.67 Warnings 1.33 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Лионель Месси Лисандро Мартинес 1:0 29' Дерой Дуарте Райан Мендеш 1:1 59' Лисандро Мартинес Алексис Мак Аллистер 2:1 92' Сидни Лопеш Кабрал Эйр Семедо Монтейро 2:2 103' Диней Боржеш 3:2 111' Наказания Кевин Ленини 68' Гонсало Монтьель 115'