World Cup - Playoff

round of 32 03.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

03.07.2026 20:00 UTC round of 32

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Argentina - Cape Verde

Futbol

Argentina

3 : 2

Finished

Cape Verde

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1Argentina — 80%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Cape Verde — odds 27.00 · edge +3.2% · 16 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Argentina - Cape Verde July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Argentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Argentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 8.04 / 2 21.50
1X2 market: Argentina 83.5% / X 11.9% / Cape Verde 4.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 83.7%

X 11.9%

2 4.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Argentina

#19 ptsGP 33-0-08:1

WWWW

Cape Verde

#23 ptsGP 30-3-02:2

LDDD

Best price across 13 books

1 1.18 Betano

X 9.25 1xBet

2 24.00 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • FIFA World Cup - Round of 32

Team stats

Argentina

WWWWWWWWWW

W 10 • D 0 • L 0 (10)

Goals average:2.9 : 0.2

1 place, 9 pts

Cape Verde

WDDLDWWDDD

W 3 • D 6 • L 1 (10)

Goals average:1.5 : 0.8

2 place, 3 pts

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature

30.7°

Feels like

37.3°

Wind

12.4 km/h (gusts 15.5)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

72%

Cloud cover

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium hard Rok (Mayami, Florida, USA), 64 478 zriteley (86% pri vmestimosti 74 918)

Referee Dryu Fisher (Kalgari, Canada)

Start 03.07.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Argentina - Cape Verde

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Argentina - Cape Verde, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 32. Argentina - Cape Verde, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.10 Fonbet · line only

1 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 7.00 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 4.40 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Yes 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.14 87.7%	1.11 90.1%
X	7.10 14.1%	8.75 11.4%	8.00 12.5%	8.25 12.1%	8.50 11.8%	8.00 12.5%
	18.50 5.4%	27.00 3.7%	21.00 4.8%	22.00 4.6%	21.00 4.8%	23.00 4.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.20 83.3%	1.35 74.1%
yes	4.05 24.7%	2.93 34.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.05 95.2%	1.07 93.5%	7.00 14.3%
1x	1.01 99.0%	—	1.03 97.1%
x2	6.09 16.4%	5.40 18.5%	1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.50 66.7%
X	2.91 34.4%
	14.10 7.1%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArgentina - Cape Verde

Argentina

0 matches total

Cape Verde

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Argentina

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Cape Verde

3 Games 3

3 Wins 0

0 Draws 3

0 Losses 0

8 Scored 2

1 Conceded 2

9 Points 3

96.33 Attacks 75.67

34.33 Dangerous attacks 25.67

0 Big chances 1

11 Shots on goal 11

4.67 Shots on target 2.33

daleniya 0 Goly Lionel Messi Lisandro Martines 1:0 29' Deroy Duarte Rayan Mendesh 1 59' Lisandro Martines Aleksis Mak Allister 2:1 92' Sidni Lopesh Kabral Eyr Semedo Monteyro 2 103' Diney Borzhesh 3:2 111' Nakazaniya Kevin Lenini 68' Gonsalo Montel 115'

Argentina Cape Verde 3 Games 3 Wins 0 Draws 3 0 Losses 0 8 Scored 2 1 Conceded 2 9 Points 3 96.33 Attacks 75.67 34.33 Dangerous attacks 25.67 0 Big chances 1 11 Shots on goal 11 4.67 Udary v stvor 2.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 3 2.67 Offsaydy 1.67 11 Foly 5 58 % vladeniya myachom 37.33 0.67 Warnings 1.33 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Lionel Messi Lisandro Martines 1:0 29' Deroy Duarte Rayan Mendesh 1 59' Lisandro Martines Aleksis Mak Allister 2:1 92' Sidni Lopesh Kabral Eyr Semedo Monteyro 2 103' Diney Borzhesh 3:2 111' Nakazaniya Kevin Lenini 68' Gonsalo Montel 115'