World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 04.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 15:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Canada - Morocco

Futbol

Canada

0 : 3

Finished

Morocco

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Morocco — 52%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canada - Morocco July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Morocco.

Line favourite market consensus: Morocco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.03 / X 3.43 / 2 1.79
1X2 market: Canada 19.0% / X 27.8% / Morocco 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 19.0%

X 27.8%

2 53.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Canada

Well rested

Rest days: 6
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Morocco

Well rested

Rest days: 5
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature

30°

Feels like

36°

Wind

5.6 km/h (gusts 14)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

74%

Cloud cover

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium En-Er-Dzhi Stadium (Khyuston, USA), 68 777 zriteley (96% pri vmestimosti 71 500)

Referee Maykl Oliver (Ashington)

Start 04.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Canada - Morocco

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Canada - Morocco, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 16. Canada - Morocco, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X 3.44 market consensus · line only

1 5.10 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.19 Fonbet · line only

1X 2.12 market consensus · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.38 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	4.75 21.1%	5.32 18.8%	5.25 19.1%	5.10 19.6%	5.00 20.0%	4.80 20.8%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.52 28.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%
	1.79 55.9%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.55 64.5%	1.75 57.1%
yes	2.45 40.8%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.33 75.2%	1.31 76.3%	1.19 84.0%
1x	2.13 47.0%	2.10 47.6%	14.00 7.1%
x2	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	5.60 17.9%
X	2.06 48.5%
	2.40 41.7%

Match center

Canada

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Morocco

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Ismael Kone Travmirovannye

Match center

Morocco

29.06 23:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Morocco 1:1 Netherlands

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCanada - Morocco

Canada

0 matches total

Morocco

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Canada

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Morocco

4 Games 4

2 Wins 3

1 Draws 1

1 Losses 0

9 Scored 7

3 Conceded 4

7 Points 10

129.75 Attacks 101.5

83.75 Dangerous attacks 42.25

6 Big chances 2.5

17.75 Shots on goal 14.75

7.25 Shots on target 5.25

.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Azzedin Unai Ashraf Khakimi 0:1 50' Azzedin Unai Braim Dias 0:2 82' Sufyan Rakhimi Braim Dias 0:3 90+8' Nakazaniya Reduan Khalal 20' Richi Lari 40' Ashraf Khakimi 40' Dzhonatan Devid 43' Azzedin Unai 45' Bilal El-Khannus 45+6' Lyuk De Fuzherol 49' Kayl Larin 67'

Canada Morocco 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 1 Draws 1 Losses 0 9 Scored 7 3 Conceded 4 7 Points 10 129.75 Attacks 101.5 83.75 Dangerous attacks 42.25 6 Big chances 2.5 17.75 Shots on goal 14.75 7.25 Udary v stvor 5.25 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0.5 9.75 Uglovye 6 1.25 Offsaydy 1.5 12 Foly 11.75 53.5 % vladeniya myachom 61.75 1.75 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Azzedin Unai Ashraf Khakimi 0:1 50' Azzedin Unai Braim Dias 0:2 82' Sufyan Rakhimi Braim Dias 0:3 90+8' Nakazaniya Reduan Khalal 20' Richi Lari 40' Ashraf Khakimi 40' Dzhonatan Devid 43' Azzedin Unai 45' Bilal El-Khannus 45+6' Lyuk De Fuzherol 49' Kayl Larin 67'