World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 05.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 22:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Mexico - England

Futbol

Mexico

2 : 3

Finished

England

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - England July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like England.

Line favourite market consensus: England. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.12 / X 3.17 / 2 2.43
1X2 market: Mexico 30.6% / X 30.1% / England 39.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 30.6%

X 30.1%

2 39.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico 1 : 1 England

13.14

X3.16

22.64

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Mexico

Well rested

Rest days: 5
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

England

Well rested

Rest days: 4
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Groza

Temperature

17.3°

Feels like

17.8°

Wind

7.2 km/h (gusts 27.4)

Precipitation

7.2 mm/h

Humidity

86%

Cloud cover

100%

⚠ Precipitation slows the game and damages the pitch — statistically fewer goals.

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Atsteka (Mekhiko, Mexico), 80 824 zritelya (100% pri vmestimosti 81 070)

Referee Alireza Fagani (Sidney, Australia)

Start 05.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Match center

Mexico - England

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Mexico - England, 6 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 16. Mexico - England, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.44 market consensus · line only

X 3.18 market consensus · line only

1 3.12 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.56 market consensus · line only

X2 1.39 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 0 1.74 market consensus · line only

1 0 2.14 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.77 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.98 33.6%	3.18 31.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.28 30.5%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.13 32.0%
	2.36 42.4%	2.53 39.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.77 56.5%
yes	1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.38 72.5%	1.38 72.5%
1x	1.60 62.5%	1.51 66.2%
x2	1.40 71.4%	1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.80 26.3%
X	1.96 51.0%
	3.26 30.7%

Match center

Mexico

30.06 23:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Mexico 2:0 Ecuador

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

England

01.07 14:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

England 2:1 DR Kongo

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - England

Mexico

0 matches total

England

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Mexico

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 England

4 Games 4

4 Wins 3

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

8 Scored 8

0 Conceded 3

12 Points 10

89.5 Attacks 117

28.75 Dangerous attacks 69.25

0 Big chances 0

12.5 Shots on goal 18.5

4 Shots on target 6.75

.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Dzhud Bellingem Bukayo Saka 0:1 36' Dzhud Bellingem Garri Keyn 0:2 38' Khulian Kinones 1:2 42' Garri Keyn 1:3 60' Raul Khimenes 2:3 69' Nakazaniya Deklan Rays 1' Dzharell Kuansa 54' Mark-Izrael Gekhi 68' Khorkhe Sanches 71' Niko O'Rayli 72' Khoan Vaskes 90+8' Dzhordan Khenderson 90+8'

Mexico England 4 Games 4 Wins 3 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 8 Scored 8 0 Conceded 3 12 Points 10 89.5 Attacks 117 28.75 Dangerous attacks 69.25 0 Big chances 0 12.5 Shots on goal 18.5 4 Udary v stvor 6.75 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 1.75 Uglovye 7.25 1 Offsaydy 1.5 11 Foly 11.75 48.5 % vladeniya myachom 64.75 0.5 Warnings 0.75 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Dzhud Bellingem Bukayo Saka 0:1 36' Dzhud Bellingem Garri Keyn 0:2 38' Khulian Kinones 1:2 42' Garri Keyn 1:3 60' Raul Khimenes 2:3 69' Nakazaniya Deklan Rays 1' Dzharell Kuansa 54' Mark-Izrael Gekhi 68' Khorkhe Sanches 71' Niko O'Rayli 72' Khoan Vaskes 90+8' Dzhordan Khenderson 90+8'