World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 05.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 17:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Portugal - Spain

Futbol

Portugal

0 : 1

Finished

Spain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portugal - Spain July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Spain.

Line favourite market consensus: Spain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.95 / X 3.63 / 2 1.93
1X2 market: Portugal 24.2% / X 26.3% / Spain 49.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 24.2%

X 26.3%

2 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • World Cup

Team stats

Portugal

WDWDW

W 3 • D 2 • L 0 (5)

Per game average:2 : 0.6

Spain

WDWWW

W 4 • D 1 • L 0 (5)

Per game average:2.2 : 0.2

Head-to-head: 11 — Portugal 2, draws 6, Spain 3 (score 11:11)

Portugal — Spain2018-06-15 3:3
Portugal — Spain2010-11-17 4:0
Portugal — Spain2025-06-08 2:2
Portugal — Spain2022-09-27 0:1
Portugal — Spain2022-06-02 1:1
Portugal — Spain2021-06-04 0:0

Form, head-to-head and prediction: aiscore.com. For reference.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Portugal

Normal schedule

Rest days: 3
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Spain

Normal schedule

Rest days: 3
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Portugal	Spain
Over 2.5	50%	40%
Average total	3.33	2.2
Both teams to score (BTTS)	67%	40%
Matches counted	6	5

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Ey-Ti-end-Ti (Arlington, Tekhas, USA), 70 649 zriteley (64% pri vmestimosti 111 000)

Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)

Start 05.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Portugal - Spain

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Portugal - Spain, 6 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 16. Portugal - Spain, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X 3.64 market consensus · line only

1 3.96 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.94 market consensus · line only

X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.62 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 6.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	3.80 26.3%	4.04 24.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%	3.80 26.3%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.84 26.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.65 27.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%
	1.90 52.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.14 87.7%	2.16 46.3%
yes	5.30 18.9%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.09 91.7%
1x	1.96 51.0%	1.92 52.1%	14.00 7.1%
x2	1.28 78.1%	1.24 80.7%	1.09 91.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.22 23.7%
X	2.27 44.1%
	2.48 40.3%

Match center

Portugal

02.07 21:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Portugal 2:1 Croatia

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Spain

02.07 17:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Spain 3:0 Austria

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortugal - Spain

Portugal

0 matches total

Spain

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Portugal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Spain

4 Games 4

2 Wins 3

2 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

8 Scored 8

2 Conceded 0

8 Points 10

120.25 Attacks 143.5

54.5 Dangerous attacks 84.5

5 Big chances 1

13 Shots on goal 19.5

3.5 Shots on target 6.5

0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mikel Merino Ferran Torres 0:1 90+1' Nakazaniya Bernardu Silva 89' Renatu Veyga 90+3' Ferran Torres 90+8'

Portugal Spain 4 Games 4 2 Wins 3 2 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 8 Scored 8 2 Conceded 0 8 Points 10 120.25 Attacks 143.5 54.5 Dangerous attacks 84.5 Big chances 1 13 Shots on goal 19.5 3.5 Udary v stvor 6.5 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 4.75 Uglovye 8 2 Offsaydy 2 8.75 Foly 10.5 61.5 % vladeniya myachom 68 1.25 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mikel Merino Ferran Torres 0:1 90+1' Nakazaniya Bernardu Silva 89' Renatu Veyga 90+3' Ferran Torres 90+8'