World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 05.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 22:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

USA - Belgium

Futbol

USA

1 : 4

Finished

Belgium

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction USA - Belgium July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Belgium.

Line favourite market consensus: Belgium. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.41 / 2 2.64
1X2 market: USA 35.9% / X 28.0% / Belgium 36.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 35.9%

X 28.0%

2 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

USA

Well rested

Rest days: 4
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Belgium

Well rested

Rest days: 4
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature

22.2°

Feels like

22.1°

Wind

15 km/h (gusts 19.1)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

48%

Cloud cover

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	USA	Belgium
Over 2.5	80%	83%
Average total	4	4
Both teams to score (BTTS)	80%	50%
Matches counted	5	6

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Lyumen Fild (Sietl, USA), vmestimost: 67000

Referee Adkham Makhadme (Jordan)

Start 05.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Match center

USA - Belgium

Football, USA - Belgium, 7 июля 2026, смотреть онлайн трансляцию matches. Во сколько начало matches USA - Belgium, где смотреть прямой эфир. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, round of 16.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.65 Fonbet · line only

X 3.45 Fonbet · line only

1 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.48 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.23 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.60 38.5%	2.77 36.1%	2.62 38.2%	2.77 36.1%	2.70 37.0%	2.60 38.5%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.54 28.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	2.60 38.5%	2.68 37.3%	2.62 38.2%	2.67 37.5%	2.63 38.0%	2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	2.40 41.7%
yes	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%
1x	1.51 66.2%	1.48 67.6%
x2	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%

Handicap

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
	—	1.23 81.3%
	—	1.16 86.2%
	—	1.05 95.2%
	—	3.70 27.0%
	—	4.30 23.3%
	—	7.10 14.1%
	—	8.50 11.8%
	1.94 51.6%	1.88 53.2%
	—	3.80 26.3%
	—	4.30 23.3%
	—	7.20 13.9%
	—	1.23 81.3%
	—	1.17 85.5%
	—	1.05 95.2%
	—	1.04 96.2%
	1.88 53.2%	1.92 52.1%

Match center

USA

01.07 22:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

USA 2:0 Bosnia i Gertsegovina

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Belgium

01.07 18:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Belgium 3:2 Senegal

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUSA - Belgium

USA

0 matches total

Belgium

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 USA

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Belgium

4 Games 4

3 Wins 2

0 Draws 2

1 Losses 0

10 Scored 9

4 Conceded 4

9 Points 8

120.25 Attacks 128.75

59.25 Dangerous attacks 75.75

3 Big chances 4

13 Shots on goal 23

4.25 Shots on target 6.25

ния 0.25 Голы Шарль Де Кетеларе Николас Раскин 0:1 9'

USA Belgium 4 Игры 4 3 Победы 2 0 Ничьи 2 1 Поражения 0 10 Забито 9 4 Пропущено 4 9 Очки 8 120.25 Атаки 128.75 59.25 Опасные атаки 75.75 3 Голевые моменты 4 13 Удары по воротам 23 4.25 Удары в створ 6.25 0.67 Штанги/перекладины 1 5.75 Угловые 4.5 2.75 Оффсайды 1.5 11.25 Фолы 12.75 56.75 % владения мячом 57.5 1.25 Warnings 1 0.25 Sendoffs 0.25 Голы Шарль Де Кетеларе Николас Раскин 0:1 9'