LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 1.70
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
26.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Group I. 3 round
Finished
World Cup Standings
Norway - France
1
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Norway - France June 26, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like France.
Line favourite market consensus: France. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.64 / X 4.51 / 2 1.65
- 1X2 market: Norway 20.6% / X 21.3% / France 58.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.3%
1
20.7%
X
21.3%
2
58.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 2
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
63.5%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
1:2
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Stadium
Dzhillett (Foksboro, USA), 64 146 zriteley (93% pri vmestimosti 68 756)
Referee
Maykl Oliver (Ashington)
Maykl Oliver (Ashington)
Start
26.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center
Norway - France
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Norway - France, 26 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, Group I. 3 round. Norway - France, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:4
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Norway
20.4%
-
Draw
20.8%
-
draw risk
France
58.8%
-
market favourite
Total 2.5
Over 61.0%
-
Under 39.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.10
Fonbet · line only
X
8.00
Fonbet · line only
1
4.78
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.06
Fonbet · line only
1X
5.80
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.08
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.13
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.08
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
7.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.52
market consensus · no value · model 61.0%
Under 2.5
2.51
market consensus · no value · model 39.0%
Both teams to score
No
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.65 21.5% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 1.61 62.1% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 5.80 17.2% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 7.90 12.7% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 3.15 31.8% | |
| 3.70 27.0% | |
| 6.60 15.2% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.08 92.6% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNorway - France
Norway
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Norway
Team 2
France
Norway
Team comparison
France
2
Games
2
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
7
Scored
6
3
Conceded
1
6
Points
6
88
Attacks
118
35.5
Dangerous attacks
65.5
5
Big chances
6
12.5
Shots on goal
15
6
Shots on target
6.5
Norway France 2 Games 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 7 Scored 6 3 Conceded 1 6 Points 6 88 Attacks 118 35.5 Dangerous attacks 65.5 Big chances 6 12.5 Shots on goal 15 6 Udary v stvor 6.5 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 5 Uglovye 5 0 Offsaydy 1 13 Foly 6.5 51.5 % vladeniya myachom 55 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Usman Dembele Kilian Mbappe 0:1 7' Usman Dembele Kilian Mbappe 0:2 20' Telo Osgor Andreas Shelderup 1:2 21' Usman Dembele Orelen Tchuameni 1:3 32' Dezire Due Bredli Barkola 1:4 90+4' Nezabitye penalti Yergen Strann Larsen 50' Nakazaniya Patrik Berg 10' Orelen Tchuameni 74'