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World Cup Standings
World Cup Standings
Group I. 3 round 26.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
26.06.2026 17:00 UTC Group I. 3 round
Finished

World Cup Standings

Senegal - Iraq

Futbol
Senegal
Senegal
5 : 0
Finished
Iraq
Iraq

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Senegal - Iraq June 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Senegal.

Line favourite market consensus: Senegal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.61 / 2 12.50
  • 1X2 market: Senegal 77.8% / X 14.5% / Iraq 7.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 77.9%
X 14.5%
2 7.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 79.6%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Bi-Em-O Fild (Toronto, Canada), 43 036 zriteley (139% pri vmestimosti 30 991)
Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)
Start 26.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Senegal - Iraq

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Senegal - Iraq, 26 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, Group I. 3 round. Senegal - Iraq, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Senegal 78.9% - market favourite
Draw 14.3% - draw risk
Iraq 6.7% -
Total 2.5 Over 57.4% - Under 42.6%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.40 market consensus · line only
X 6.66 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 57.4%
Under 2.5 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
X 6.00 16.7% 6.97 14.4% 7.00 14.3% 6.40 15.6% 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4%
9.40 10.6% 14.90 6.7% 13.00 7.7% 12.00 8.3% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.25 30.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 11.50 8.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.28 78.1%
1.17 85.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.65 60.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.55 39.2%
3.05 32.8%
3.30 30.3%
4.20 23.8%
2.60 38.5%
2.70 37.0%
2.25 44.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.48 67.6%
1.35 74.1%
1.18 84.8%
7.50 13.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySenegal - Iraq

Senegal
0 matches total
Iraq
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Senegal
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Iraq
Senegal Team comparison Iraq
2 Games 2
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
3 Scored 1
6 Conceded 7
0 Points 0
99.5 Attacks 86.5
43.5 Dangerous attacks 28
4 Big chances 1
11 Shots on goal 7.5
3 Shots on target 0.5
1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khabib Diarra Abdulaye Sek 1:0 4' Ismaila Sarr Lamin Kamara 2:0 56' Pap Geye Ismaila Sarr 3:0 59' Pap Geye Iliman Ndiaye 4:0 71' Iliman Ndiaye Pap Geye 5:0 82' Nakazaniya Rebin Sulaka 13' Abdulaye Sek 18' Amir Al-Ammari 75' Pap Geye 81' Merkhas Doski 90'

Senegal Iraq 2 Games 2 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 2 Losses 2 3 Scored 1 6 Conceded 7 0 Points 0 99.5 Attacks 86.5 43.5 Dangerous attacks 28 4 Big chances 1 11 Shots on goal 7.5 3 Udary v stvor 0.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 2 3.5 Offsaydy 0.5 7 Foly 8 52 % vladeniya myachom 41.5 0 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khabib Diarra Abdulaye Sek 1:0 4' Ismaila Sarr Lamin Kamara 2:0 56' Pap Geye Ismaila Sarr 3:0 59' Pap Geye Iliman Ndiaye 4:0 71' Iliman Ndiaye Pap Geye 5:0 82' Nakazaniya Rebin Sulaka 13' Abdulaye Sek 18' Amir Al-Ammari 75' Pap Geye 81' Merkhas Doski 90'