What does PropickAI predict for Senegal vs Iraq?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Senegal. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Senegal vs Iraq?

Live odds for Senegal vs Iraq from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Senegal win probability ~78% confidence High best odds 1.23

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Senegal. Full breakdown below.

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World: Championship World

Group I. 3 round

26.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction

26.06.2026 17:00 UTC Group I. 3 round

Finished

World: Championship World

Senegal vs Iraq — Football prediction

Football

Senegal

5 : 0

Finished

Iraq

Senegal go head-to-head with Iraq on June 26, 2026 in the World: Championship World.

The market favourite is Senegal at roughly 78%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — Senegal or draw 1.05

Model confidence 92% ~93% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Senegal - Iraq June 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Senegal.

Line favourite market consensus: Senegal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.61 / 2 12.50
1X2 market: Senegal 77.8% / X 14.5% / Iraq 7.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 16 books · best price +2.8%

1 78.2%

X 14.1%

2 7.7%

Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 5/5

Confidence 79.6%

Total Over 2.5

Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Senegal

78%

1.27

Draw

14%

14.00

Iraq

82.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center

Stadium Bi-Em-O Fild (Toronto, Canada), 43 036 zriteley (139% pri vmestimosti 30 991)

Referee Entoni Teylor (Manchester)

Start 26.06.2026 17:00 UTC

Market 1 77.9% @ 1.23 / X 14.5% @ 6.61 / 2 7.7% @ 12.50

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Match center

Senegal - Iraq

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Senegal - Iraq, 26 iyunya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. World Cup po futbolu 2026, Group I. 3-y Round. Senegal - Iraq, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 5:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Senegal 78.9% - market favourite

Draw 14.3% - draw risk

Iraq 6.7% -

Total 2.5 Over 57.4% - Under 42.6%

Model check - - Difference 0.00

The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.40 market consensus · line only

X 6.66 market consensus · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 3.30 Fonbet · line only

2 0 7.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 57.4%

Under 2.5 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%

Both teams to score

No 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.25 80.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%
X	6.00 16.7%	6.97 14.4%	7.00 14.3%	6.40 15.6%	7.00 14.3%	6.50 15.4%
	9.40 10.6%	14.90 6.7%	13.00 7.7%	12.00 8.3%	13.00 7.7%	13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.30 76.9%
yes	3.25 30.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.01 99.0%
1x	1.05 95.2%
x2	11.50 8.7%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.28 78.1%
	1.17 85.5%
	1.47 68.0%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.55 39.2%
	3.05 32.8%
	3.30 30.3%
	4.20 23.8%
	2.60 38.5%
	2.70 37.0%
	2.25 44.4%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.18 84.8%
	7.50 13.3%

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Senegal - Iraq

Senegal

0 matches total

Iraq

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Senegal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Iraq

2 Games 2

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

2 Losses 2

3 Scored 1

6 Conceded 7

0 Points 0

99.5 Attacks 86.5

43.5 Dangerous attacks 28

4 Big chances 1

11 Shots on goal 7.5

3 Shots on target 0.5

1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khabib Diarra Abdulaye Sek 1:0 4' Ismaila Sarr Lamin Kamara 2:0 56' Pap Geye Ismaila Sarr 3:0 59' Pap Geye Iliman Ndiaye 4:0 71' Iliman Ndiaye Pap Geye 5:0 82' Nakazaniya Rebin Sulaka 13' Abdulaye Sek 18' Amir Al-Ammari 75' Pap Geye 81' Merkhas Doski 90'

Senegal Iraq 2 Games 2 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 2 Losses 2 3 Scored 1 6 Conceded 7 0 Points 0 99.5 Attacks 86.5 43.5 Dangerous attacks 28 4 Big chances 1 11 Shots on goal 7.5 3 Udary v stvor 0.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 2 3.5 Offsaydy 0.5 7 Foly 8 52 % vladeniya myachom 41.5 0 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Khabib Diarra Abdulaye Sek 1:0 4' Ismaila Sarr Lamin Kamara 2:0 56' Pap Geye Ismaila Sarr 3:0 59' Pap Geye Iliman Ndiaye 4:0 71' Iliman Ndiaye Pap Geye 5:0 82' Nakazaniya Rebin Sulaka 13' Abdulaye Sek 18' Amir Al-Ammari 75' Pap Geye 81' Merkhas Doski 90'

Senegal vs Iraq — Football prediction

AI match prediction Senegal - Iraq June 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Forecast by market

Unlock the full AI analysis

Senegal - Iraq

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Handicap

Match history

More predictions

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