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ASEAN Championship. Women. Qualifying stage. Semi-finals
ASEAN Championship. Women. Qualifying stage. Semi-finals
09.06.2026 04:30 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 04:30 UTC
Finished

ASEAN Championship. Women. Qualifying stage. Semi-finals

Japan (Zh) - South Africa (Zh)

Football
Japan (Zh)
Japan (Zh)
0 : 1
Finished
South Africa (Zh)
South Africa (Zh)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Japan (Zh) - South Africa (Zh) June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Japan (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Japan (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.04 / X 11.22 / 2 26.21
  • 1X2 market: Japan (Zh) 88.0% / X 8.4% / South Africa (Zh) 3.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 88.3%
X 8.2%
2 3.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Women
Best price across 9 books
1 1.08 Dafabet
X 14.03 Pinnacle
2 36.00 William Hill

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Japan (Zh)
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.46 Conceded 1.28 xG 1.60 xGA 1.32
1 -1.90 X -6.58 2 +1.02 1 (DNB) -2.67
South Africa (Zh)
W-D-L 9-0-1 Scored 1.83 Conceded 0.89 xG 0.89 xGA 2.20
1 +2.57 X -3.00 2 -1.99 1 (DNB) +2.07

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Japan (Zh)
Rating 1847
South Africa (Zh)
Rating 1706

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 04:30 UTC
Match center

Japan (Zh) - South Africa (Zh)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.60 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Dafabet Marathonbet
1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.01 99.0%
X 8.80 11.4% 13.20 7.6% 12.00 8.3% 8.50 11.8% 10.00 10.0% 13.00 7.7%
31.00 3.2% 27.00 3.7% 34.00 2.9% 23.00 4.4% 17.00 5.9% 27.00 3.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5%
1x 3.60 27.8%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%
10.50 9.5%
7.70 13.0%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
3.90 25.6%
5.30 18.9%
7.40 13.5%
11.50 8.7%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.20 83.3%
1.11 90.1%
Match center
Japan (Zh)
W
06.06 04:50 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Japan (Zh) 5:0 South Africa (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
South Africa (Zh)
L
06.06 04:50 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
South Africa (Zh) 0:5 Japan (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJapan (Zh) - South Africa (Zh)

Japan (Zh)
1 matches total
South Africa (Zh)
Japan (Zh): 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
South Africa (Zh): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Japan (Zh) 5:0 (06.06 04:50 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 06.06 04:50 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 5

Match history

06.06 04:50 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Japan (Zh)
5:0
South Africa (Zh)