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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
09.06.2026 23:00 UTC Friendlies
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

Argentina - Iceland

Football
Argentina
Argentina
3 : 0
Finished
Iceland
Iceland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Argentina - Iceland June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Argentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Argentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.16 / X 7.00 / 2 16.55
  • 1X2 market: Argentina 80.6% / X 13.5% / Iceland 5.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 80.9%
X 13.4%
2 5.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies
Best price across 13 books
1 1.22 Bet365
X 7.50 Unibet
2 19.00 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Argentina
W-D-L 10-0-0 Scored 2.89 Conceded 0.28 xG 3.10 xGA 0.46 Corners 4.9
1 +1.16 X -9.00 2 -9.00 1 (DNB) +0.32
Iceland
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.01 Conceded 1.47 xG 0.90 xGA 1.92 Corners 2.4
1 +19.76 X -2.02 2 -4.30 1 (DNB) +16.57

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Argentina
Rating 1868 xG 2.44 Win 77%
Iceland
Rating 1486 xG 0.64 Win 8%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Stadium Dzhordan-Kheyr (Obern, USA), vmestimost: 88043
Referee Rosendo Mendosa 🇺🇸 8' 1:0 Valentin Barko 42' Valentin Barko 72' 2:0 Lionel Messi 75' Lautaro Martines 87' 3:0 Tyago Almada 0' 45' 90' 29' Viktor Paulsson 30' Daniel Gretarsson 63' Isak-Bergmann Youkhannesson 71' Elias Rabn Olafsson 77...
Start 09.06.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Argentina - Iceland

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Argentina - Iceland, 10 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Argentina - Iceland, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 7.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
X 6.80 14.7% 8.60 11.6% 6.50 15.4% 7.10 14.1% 7.00 14.3% 6.50 15.4%
12.00 8.3% 21.00 4.8% 17.00 5.9% 22.00 4.6% 18.00 5.6% 15.00 6.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.05 95.2%
yes 7.50 13.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 10.00 10.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.22 82.0%
3.40 29.4%
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
11.00 9.1%
1.04 96.2%
7.40 13.5%
8.50 11.8%
3.85 26.0%
1.27 78.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
7.90 12.7%
Match center
Argentina
W
06.06 22:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Argentina 2:0 HondurasHonduras
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Iceland
L
31.05 08:25 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Iceland 0:1 JapanJapan
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArgentina - Iceland

Argentina
0 matches total
Iceland
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Argentina
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Iceland
Argentina Team comparison Iceland
3 Games 4
3 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
9 Scored 3
1 Conceded 8
9 Points 2
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
prezhdeniya 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Valentin Barko 1:0 8' Lionel Messi 2:0 72' Tyago Almada Rodrigo De Paul 3:0 87' Nakazaniya Viktor Paulsson 29' Daniel Gretarsson 30' Valentin Barko 42' Isak-Bergmann Youkhannesson 63' Elias Rabn Olafsson 71' Lautaro Martines 75' Youn Torsteynsson 77' Aron Gunnarsson 78'

Argentina Iceland 3 Games 4 3 Wins 0 Draws 2 0 Losses 2 9 Scored 3 1 Conceded 8 9 Points 2 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.33 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Valentin Barko 1:0 8' Lionel Messi 2:0 72' Tyago Almada Rodrigo De Paul 3:0 87' Nakazaniya Viktor Paulsson 29' Daniel Gretarsson 30' Valentin Barko 42' Isak-Bergmann Youkhannesson 63' Elias Rabn Olafsson 71' Lautaro Martines 75' Youn Torsteynsson 77' Aron Gunnarsson 78'