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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
09.06.2026 16:00 UTC Friendlies
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

Azerbaijan - San-Marino

Football
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Finished
San-Marino
San-Marino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Azerbaijan - San-Marino June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Azerbaijan.

Line favourite market consensus: Azerbaijan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 7.21 / 2 17.17
  • 1X2 market: Azerbaijan 81.4% / X 13.0% / San-Marino 5.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 81.7%
X 12.9%
2 5.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies
Best price across 12 books
1 1.16 Betano
X 9.15 1xBet
2 23.00 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Azerbaijan
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.67 Conceded 1.66 xG 1.40 xGA 1.04 Corners 8.2
1 -4.31 X -3.78 2 +3.61 1 (DNB) -3.72
San-Marino
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.45 Conceded 1.79 xG 0.62 xGA 2.16 Corners 3.9
1 -10.00 X -3.78 2 +1.55 1 (DNB) -6.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Azerbaijan
Rating 1141
San-Marino
Rating 1108

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Azerbaijan - San-Marino

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Azerbaijan - San-Marino, 9 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Azerbaijan - San-Marino, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.19 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 0 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
X 6.40 15.6% 9.25 10.8% 7.00 14.3% 6.60 15.2% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3%
14.00 7.1% 23.00 4.4% 19.00 5.3% 16.50 6.1% 18.00 5.6% 17.00 5.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 7.60 13.2%
yes 1.04 96.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 8.50 11.8%
x2 1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.15 24.1%
1.25 80.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.20 83.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.06 94.3%
1.04 96.2%
7.20 13.9%
1.19 84.0%
3.50 28.6%
11.50 8.7%
6.70 14.9%
3.75 26.7%
7.00 14.3%
6.80 14.7%
7.90 12.7%
1.05 95.2%
Match center
Azerbaijan
L
05.06 16:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Azerbaijan 0:2 MaltaMalta
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAzerbaijan - San-Marino

Azerbaijan
0 matches total
San-Marino
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Azerbaijan
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 San-Marino
Azerbaijan Team comparison San-Marino
3 Games 3
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
7 Scored 2
4 Conceded 4
6 Points 1
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14 Shots on goal 0
5 Shots on target 0
0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Nikola Nanni Alessandro Tozi 0:1 9' Rakhman Dashdamirov Tellur Mutallimov 1 27' Renat Dadashov Tural Bayramov 2:1 49' Nakazaniya Emin Makhmudov 31' Aykhan Guseynov 35' Lorenzo Capicchioni 42' Rakhil Mamedov 46' Lorentso Latstsari 53' Tural Bayramov 66' Emil Safarov 66' Nikola Nanni 66' Alessandro Tozi 66' Marchello Mularoni 89'

Azerbaijan San-Marino 3 Games 3 2 Wins 0 Draws 1 Losses 2 7 Scored 2 4 Conceded 4 6 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14 Shots on goal 0 5 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 6.5 Uglovye 0 3 Offsaydy 0 9 Foly 0 61.5 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.33 Warnings 3 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Nikola Nanni Alessandro Tozi 0:1 9' Rakhman Dashdamirov Tellur Mutallimov 1 27' Renat Dadashov Tural Bayramov 2:1 49' Nakazaniya Emin Makhmudov 31' Aykhan Guseynov 35' Lorenzo Capicchioni 42' Rakhil Mamedov 46' Lorentso Latstsari 53' Tural Bayramov 66' Emil Safarov 66' Nikola Nanni 66' Alessandro Tozi 66' Marchello Mularoni 89'