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ASEAN Championship. Group stage
ASEAN Championship. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Not started

ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Gremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20

Football
Gremio Prudente U20
Gremio Prudente U20
- : -
Not started
Capivariano U20
Capivariano U20

Gremio Prudente U20 meet Capivariano U20 on August 6, 2026 in the ASEAN Championship. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gremio Prudente U20 1-0-0, Capivariano U20 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gremio Prudente U2068%

1 · Gremio Prudente U20 ✓ Pick67.8%
market72%
X · draw16.3%
market17%
2 · Capivariano U2015.9%
market11%

Model estimate: win Gremio Prudente U20 67.8%, draw 16.3%, win Capivariano U20 15.9%. Model favourite — Gremio Prudente U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gremio Prudente U20 (odds2.36) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs India U20: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20 August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Gremio Prudente U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.50 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 ✓ Pick 72.1%
X 16.5%
2 11.4%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Paulista - U20
League table
Gremio Prudente U20
#2011 ptsGP 83-2-310:10
Capivariano U20
#1513 ptsGP 83-4-113:9
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Gremio Prudente U20
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.43 xG 1.40 xGA 1.40
Capivariano U20
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.04 xG 1.40 xGA 1.35

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Gremio Prudente U20
Rating 1609
Capivariano U20
Rating 1668

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gremio Prudente U20 4 : 1 Capivariano U20
11.31
X5.02
26.77

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 72.1% @ 1.26 / X 16.5% @ 5.50 / 2 11.4% @ 8.00
Match center

Gremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio Prudente U20 72.1% 67.8% market and model agree
Draw 16.5% 16.3% draw risk
Capivariano U20 11.4% 15.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.8% / 16.3% / 15.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,699 / 1,301 India U20 / Singapore U20
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,117-2,281 / 719-1,883 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 market consensus · no value · model 15.9%
X 5.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 67.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.64 61.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.59 62.9%
X 3.01 33.2%
6.70 14.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 1.5 1.94 51.6%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
Match center
Gremio Prudente U20
W
02.08 13:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Gremio Prudente U20 3:0 Singapore U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Capivariano U20
L
02.08 13:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Capivariano U20 0:3 India U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20

Gremio Prudente U20
1 matches total
Capivariano U20
Gremio Prudente U20: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Capivariano U20: 0 (0%)
Biggest win India U20 3:0 (02.08 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 02.08 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

02.08 13:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
India U20
3:0
Singapore U20