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Mexico. Liga MX

09.06.2026 09:35 UTC Match prediction

09.06.2026 09:35 UTC

Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

China U23 - Tadzhikistan U23

Football

China U23

3 : 0

Finished

Tadzhikistan U23

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction China U23 - Tadzhikistan U23 June 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: China U23. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / X 7.90 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 24.8%

1 73.5%

X 10.1%

2 16.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

China U23

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.08 Conceded 0.87 xG 1.48 xGA 0.97

1 -0.37 X +2.19 2 -4.00 1 (DNB) +0.73

Tadzhikistan U23

W-D-L 3-3-2 Scored 0.52 Conceded 0.40 xG 1.21 xGA 1.52

1 +0.45 X -2.00 2 -0.20 1 (DNB) -0.17

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

China U23

Rating 1577

Tadzhikistan U23

Rating 1561

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 09.06.2026 09:35 UTC

Match center

China U23 - Tadzhikistan U23

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.90 market consensus · line only

X 7.90 Fonbet · line only

1 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 6.20 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.16 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Yes 8.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.04 96.2%
yes	8.00 12.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.01 99.0%
x2	6.20 16.1%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.16 86.2%
	1.11 90.1%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.03 97.1%
	1.48 67.6%
	5.60 17.9%
	11.00 9.1%
	10.00 10.0%
	1.02 98.0%
	4.60 21.7%
	5.20 19.2%
	2.95 33.9%
	8.50 11.8%
	2.55 39.2%
	1.09 91.7%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.02 98.0%
	10.50 9.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Bettery	Fonbet
Over 0.5	—	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 1	—	—	1.45 69.0%
Over 1.5	—	—	1.33 75.2%
Over 2	—	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 2.5	2.11 47.4%	2.10 47.6%	1.70 58.8%
Over 3	1.65 60.6%	—	5.00 20.0%
Over 3.5	—	—	3.90 25.6%
Over 4	—	—	5.70 17.5%
Over 4.5	1.73 57.8%	—	7.40 13.5%
Over 5.5	—	—	11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 3	2.05 48.8%	—	—
Under 4.5	1.97 50.8%	—	—

Match center

China U23

06.06 05:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

China U23 1:0 Tadzhikistan U23

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Tadzhikistan U23

06.06 05:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Tadzhikistan U23 0:1 China U23

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyChina U23 - Tadzhikistan U23

China U23

1 matches total

Tadzhikistan U23

China U23: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tadzhikistan U23: 0 (0%)

Biggest win China U23 1:0 (06.06 05:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 06.06 05:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.06 05:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

China U23

1:0

Tadzhikistan U23