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ASEAN Championship. Group stage
ASEAN Championship. Group stage
Friendlies 04.06.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
04.06.2026 11:00 UTC Friendlies
Finished

ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Lesoto - Keniya

Football
Lesoto
Lesoto
1 : 1
Finished
Keniya
Keniya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lesoto - Keniya June 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.50 / X 1.27 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%
1 8.9%
X 73.7%
2 17.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Lesoto - Keniya

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Keniya - Lesoto, 4 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Keniya - Lesoto, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.15 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.22 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.17 85.5%
yes 4.40 22.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.55 28.2%
1x 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.06 94.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.04 96.2%
1.01 99.0%
9.00 11.1%
10.00 10.0%
2.65 37.7%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
6.90 14.5%
8.00 12.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.02 98.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 1 10.00 10.0%
Over 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 2 4.15 24.1%
Over 2.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 3 5.80 17.2%
Over 3.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 4.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 0.5 4.10 24.4%
Under 1 1.02 98.0%
Under 1.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 2 1.19 84.0%
Under 2.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 3 1.09 91.7%
Under 3.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 4.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLesoto - Keniya

Lesoto
0 matches total
Keniya
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lesoto
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Keniya
Lesoto Team comparison Keniya
2 Games 0
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
4 Scored 0
1 Conceded 0
3 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Lesoto Friendlies Goly Frank Odhiambo 1:0 12' Thabo Makhele 1 70'
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Keniya Lesoto 2 Games 0 1 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 4 Scored 0 1 Conceded 0 3 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.5 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 07.06.2026 Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026 Keniya –:– Lesoto Friendlies Goly Frank Odhiambo 1:0 12' Thabo Makhele 1 70' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 45% 33% 22% Double chance 39% 33% 28% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1315170' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');