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ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Friendlies 05.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction

05.06.2026 00:00 UTC Friendlies

Finished

ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Mexico - Serbia

Football

Mexico

5 : 1

Finished

Serbia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Serbia June 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.51 / 2 10.86
1X2 market: Mexico 74.1% / X 17.1% / Serbia 8.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%

1 74.4%

X 17.0%

2 8.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies

Best price across 13 books

1 1.31 Dafabet

X 6.40 Betano

2 12.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

Mexico

Rating 1673

Serbia

Rating 1481

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Atsteka (Mekhiko, Mexico), vmestimost: 81070

Referee Tori Penso 🇺🇸 34' 1 Khoan Vaskes 43' Alvaro Fidalgo 45' 2:1 Stefan Bukinats 57' 3:1 Raul Khimenes 65' Edson Alvares 72' 4:1 Adem Avdich 90' 5:1 Luis Chaves 0' 45' 90' 16' Vanya Dragoevich 19' 0:1 Petar Stanich

Start 05.06.2026 00:00 UTC

Match center

Mexico - Serbia

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Mexico - Serbia, 5 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Mexico - Serbia, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.19 market consensus · line only

X 8.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 7.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%
X	5.70 17.5%	6.62 15.1%	5.00 20.0%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%	5.25 19.1%
	13.00 7.7%	14.00 7.1%	11.00 9.1%	11.00 9.1%	11.00 9.1%	11.50 8.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	4.90 20.4%
yes	1.13 88.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.06 94.3%
x2	6.50 15.4%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.14 87.7%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.25 80.0%
	1.03 97.1%
	1.35 74.1%
	4.90 20.4%
	8.50 11.8%
	7.50 13.3%
	8.50 11.8%
	4.60 21.7%
	5.90 17.0%
	3.45 29.0%
	9.00 11.1%
	3.15 31.8%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.03 97.1%
	1.02 98.0%
	6.30 15.9%

Match center

Serbia

31.05 13:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Serbia 0:3 Cape Verde

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - Serbia

Mexico

0 matches total

Serbia

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Mexico

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Serbia

7 Games 3

5 Wins 1

2 Draws 0

0 Losses 2

10 Scored 2

1 Conceded 7

17 Points 3

0 Attacks 48

0 Dangerous attacks 17

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 2

0 Shots on target 2

reduprezhdeniya 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Petar Stanich 0:1 19' Khoan Vaskes 1 34' Stefan Bukinats 2:1 45' Raul Khimenes 3:1 57' Adem Avdich 4:1 72' Luis Chaves 5:1 90' Nakazaniya Vanya Dragoevich 16' Alvaro Fidalgo 43' Edson Alvares 65' Adem Avdich 68'

Mexico Serbia 7 Games 3 5 Wins 1 2 Draws 0 Losses 2 10 Scored 2 1 Conceded 7 17 Points 3 0 Attacks 48 0 Dangerous attacks 17 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 2 0 Udary v stvor 2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 1 0 Offsaydy 1 0 Foly 8 0 % vladeniya myachom 34 0.86 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Petar Stanich 0:1 19' Khoan Vaskes 1 34' Stefan Bukinats 2:1 45' Raul Khimenes 3:1 57' Adem Avdich 4:1 72' Luis Chaves 5:1 90' Nakazaniya Vanya Dragoevich 16' Alvaro Fidalgo 43' Edson Alvares 65' Adem Avdich 68'