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Mexico. Liga MX

09.06.2026 12:30 UTC Match prediction

09.06.2026 12:30 UTC

Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

Russia U21 - Iraq U23

Football

Russia U21

1 : 0

Finished

Iraq U23

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Russia U21 - Iraq U23 June 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Russia U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / X 5.40 / 2 9.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 17.1%

1 74.9%

X 15.8%

2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies

Best price across 9 books

1 1.62 Betano

X 4.20 Betfair

2 5.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Russia U21

W-D-L 3-1-1 Scored 2.18 Conceded 0.78 xG 1.24 xGA 1.44

1 -1.00 X -1.00 2 +1.29 1 (DNB) -1.00

Iraq U23

W-D-L 4-1-3 Scored 1.27 Conceded 1.55 xG 1.34 xGA 0.89

1 +1.02 X -1.00 2 -1.00 1 (DNB) +0.44

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Russia U21

Rating 1727

Iraq U23

Rating 1341

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 1.64 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center

Stadium Emirkhan Sport Central (Manavgat, Turkey), vmestimost: 2000

Referee Mazlum Dogan Bodur (Antalya, Turkey)

Start 09.06.2026 12:30 UTC

Match center

Russia U21 - Iraq U23

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Russia U21 - Iraq U23, 9 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies U21 — 2026. Russia U21 - Iraq U23, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.11 market consensus · line only

X 5.40 Fonbet · line only

1 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.30 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only

2 0 7.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.33 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.03 97.1%
yes	13.00 7.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.13 88.5%
x2	5.30 18.9%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.33 75.2%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.30 43.5%
	7.30 13.7%
	4.20 23.8%
	4.80 20.8%
	1.07 93.5%
	3.15 31.8%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.17 85.5%
	1.13 88.5%
	7.70 13.0%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Bettery	Fonbet
Over 2	1.60 62.5%	—	—
Over 2.5	1.65 60.6%	1.88 53.2%	—
Over 3	2.05 48.8%	—	2.85 35.1%
Over 3.5	2.07 48.3%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%
Over 4	—	—	2.95 33.9%
Over 4.5	1.78 56.2%	—	3.55 28.2%
Under 2	2.15 46.5%	—	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	1.87 53.5%	—
Under 3	1.62 61.7%	—	—
Under 3.5	1.67 59.9%	1.64 61.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.88 53.2%	—	—

Match center

Russia U21

05.06 12:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Russia U21 5:1 Iraq U23

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

5.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Iraq U23

05.06 12:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Iraq U23 1:5 Russia U21

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

5.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRussia U21 - Iraq U23

Russia U21

1 matches total

Iraq U23

Russia U21: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Iraq U23: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Russia U21 5:1 (05.06 12:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 05.06 12:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

05.06 12:30 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Russia U21

5:1

Iraq U23

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Russia U21

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Iraq U23

3 Games 1

2 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 1

8 Scored 1

4 Conceded 5

6 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

5 Shots on target 1

reduprezhdeniya 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Andrey Ivlev 1:0 83' Nakazaniya Vitaliy Bondarev 13' Khusseyn Fakhim 13' Daniil Plotnikov 33' Muslim Musa 38' Adkham Khalaf 41' Lait Sadzhid 61' Aleksandr Pomalyuk 61' Ali Mokhalad 73' Gleb Popolitov 77' Muslim Musa 80' Ayman Luay 82'

Russia U21 Iraq U23 3 Games 1 2 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 8 Scored 1 4 Conceded 5 6 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 5 Udary v stvor 1 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 7 Uglovye 7 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 53 % vladeniya myachom 47 0.33 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Andrey Ivlev 1:0 83' Nakazaniya Vitaliy Bondarev 13' Khusseyn Fakhim 13' Daniil Plotnikov 33' Muslim Musa 38' Adkham Khalaf 41' Lait Sadzhid 61' Aleksandr Pomalyuk 61' Ali Mokhalad 73' Gleb Popolitov 77' Muslim Musa 80' Ayman Luay 82'