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ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Friendlies 04.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

04.06.2026 17:00 UTC Friendlies

Finished

ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Spain - Iraq

Football

Spain

1 : 1

Finished

Iraq

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spain - Iraq June 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.33 / X 4.30 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%

1 67.8%

X 21.0%

2 11.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 1.73 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center

Stadium Abanka-Riasor (La-Korunya, Spain), vmestimost: 34611

Referee Florian Badshtyubner (Vindsbakh)

Start 04.06.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Spain - Iraq

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Spain - Iraq, 4 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Spain - Iraq, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 Fonbet · line only

X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only

2 0 5.80 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.72 58.1%
yes	1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.14 87.7%
1x	1.01 99.0%
x2	2.80 35.7%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.55 64.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	2.80 35.7%
	3.35 29.9%
	5.40 18.5%
	6.10 16.4%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.25 80.0%
	1.10 90.9%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.01 99.0%
	5.80 17.2%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 3	2.15 46.5%
Over 3.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 4	4.00 25.0%
Over 4.5	4.50 22.2%
Over 5	10.50 9.5%
Over 5.5	11.00 9.1%
Over 6	7.70 13.0%
Over 6.5	8.50 11.8%
Under 3	1.62 61.7%
Under 3.5	1.40 71.4%
Under 4	1.20 83.3%
Under 4.5	1.15 87.0%
Under 5	1.02 98.0%
Under 5.5	1.01 99.0%
Under 6	1.04 96.2%
Under 6.5	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Spain

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Iraq

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Viktor Munos Lamin Yamal Niko Uilyams Travmirovannye

Match center

Full head-to-head historySpain - Iraq

Spain

0 matches total

Iraq

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Spain

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Iraq

2 Games 1

1 Wins 1

1 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

3 Scored 1

0 Conceded 0

4 Points 3

147.5 Attacks 0

84.5 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

20 Shots on goal 0

7 Shots on target 0

ya 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Ferran Torres Dani Olmo 1:0 16' Merkhas Doski Akam Khashem 1 27' Nakazaniya Mark Bernal 33' Gavi 38' Zaid Ismail 57' Rebin Sulaka 80'

Spain Iraq 2 Games 1 Wins 1 Draws 0 Losses 0 3 Scored 1 0 Conceded 0 4 Points 3 147.5 Attacks 0 84.5 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 20 Shots on goal 0 7 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 8 Uglovye 0 2 Offsaydy 0 11.5 Foly 0 63.5 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Ferran Torres Dani Olmo 1:0 16' Merkhas Doski Akam Khashem 1 27' Nakazaniya Mark Bernal 33' Gavi 38' Zaid Ismail 57' Rebin Sulaka 80'