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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
08.06.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
08.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

USA U21 - Uzbekistan U23

Football
USA U21
USA U21
0 : 1
Finished
Uzbekistan U23
Uzbekistan U23

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction USA U21 - Uzbekistan U23 June 8, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Uzbekistan U23. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.44 / X 6.30 / 2 1.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 45.4%
1 28.2%
X 10.9%
2 60.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
USA U21
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.54 Conceded 1.03 xG 2.13 xGA 0.63
1 -0.31 X -3.00 2 +10.00 1 (DNB) +0.00
Uzbekistan U23
W-D-L 4-2-3 Scored 1.16 Conceded 2.06 xG 0.69 xGA 2.16
1 -1.00 X -1.00 2 +0.32 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
USA U21
Rating 1692
Uzbekistan U23
Rating 1435

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 08.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

USA U21 - Uzbekistan U23

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 5.50 18.2%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.38 72.5%
1.06 94.3%
2.60 38.5%
6.30 15.9%
3.90 25.6%
9.00 11.1%
5.80 17.2%
6.60 15.2%
7.10 14.1%
2.90 34.5%
8.50 11.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.10 90.9%
1.20 83.3%
1.04 96.2%
1.09 91.7%
1.06 94.3%
1.08 92.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Bettery Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.63 61.4% —
Over 3 1.95 51.3% — 2.30 43.5%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 9.00 11.1%
Over 4 — — 3.55 28.2%
Over 4.5 — 1.87 53.5% 4.50 22.2%
Over 5 — — 6.00 16.7%
Over 5.5 — — 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 1.69 59.2% 2.15 46.5% —
Under 3 1.71 58.5% — —
Under 3.5 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5% —
Under 4.5 — 1.88 53.2% —
Match center
USA U21
W
05.06 14:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
USA U21 3:1 Ukraine U21Ukraine U21
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Uzbekistan U23
L
05.06 12:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Uzbekistan U23 0:1 Japan U21Japan U21
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUSA U21 - Uzbekistan U23

USA U21
0 matches total
Uzbekistan U23
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history