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ASEAN Championship. Group stage
ASEAN Championship. Group stage
31.05.2026 08:25 UTC Friendlies
Finished

ASEAN Championship. Group stage

Japan - Iceland

Football
Japan
Japan
1 : 0
Finished
Iceland
Iceland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Japan - Iceland May 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / X 1.55 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 31.6%
X 61.1%
2 7.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Japan

Main outcome Japan
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 1.75 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 31.05.2026 08:25 UTC
Match center

Japan - Iceland

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Japan - Iceland, 31 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Friendlies (sbornye) — 2026, Friendlies. Japan - Iceland, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.02 98.0%
yes 9.50 10.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 2.40 41.7%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.40 71.4%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
6.00 16.7%
6.60 15.2%
10.00 10.0%
10.50 9.5%
3.20 31.3%
10.50 9.5%
5.70 17.5%
6.50 15.4%
1.14 87.7%
1.08 92.6%
1.06 94.3%
1.02 98.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.28 78.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
1.07 93.5%
4.70 21.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3 3.50 28.6%
Over 3.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 4 3.05 32.8%
Over 4.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 5 5.30 18.9%
Over 5.5 6.20 16.1%
Under 3 1.25 80.0%
Under 3.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 4 1.35 74.1%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 5 1.11 90.1%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJapan - Iceland

Japan
0 matches total
Iceland
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Japan
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Iceland
Japan Team comparison Iceland
2 Games 3
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
2 Scored 3
0 Conceded 7
6 Points 2
51 Attacks 0
27 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
7 Shots on goal 0
2 Shots on target 0
0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Koki Ogava Yukinari Sugavara 1:0 87' Nakazaniya Kristian Khlinsson 33' Stefan Teytur Tordarson 75'

Japan Iceland 2 Games 3 2 Wins 0 Draws 2 0 Losses 1 2 Scored 3 0 Conceded 7 6 Points 2 51 Attacks 0 27 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7 Shots on goal 0 2 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 1 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 12 Foly 0 32 % vladeniya myachom 0 2 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Koki Ogava Yukinari Sugavara 1:0 87' Nakazaniya Kristian Khlinsson 33' Stefan Teytur Tordarson 75'