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Estonia. League 4
Estonia. League 4
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Estonia. League 4

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Football
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
0 : 4
Finished
B
Bolivar U19
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· β€” 69%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·): model 30% Β· market 72% Ξ” βˆ’42 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· ✓ Pick69.3%
market72%
X Β· draw18.8%
market18%
2 Β· Bolivar U1912.0%
market9%

Model estimate: win Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 69.3%, draw 18.8%, win Bolivar U19 12.0%. Model favourite β€” Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bolivar U19 (odds1.78) Score 1:2 Under 4.5 (odds1.80) βœ“ Handicap H1 +4.5 (odds1.55) βœ“ confidence 56% βœ“ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) β€” informational only
  • • Expected score 1:2
  • • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • • at line 4.5 (odds 1.80)
  • • Handicap F1 +4.5: score forecast 1:2 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.55).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·.

Line favourite market consensus: Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.20 / 2 10.10
  • Glicko: Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 69.3% / X 18.8% / Bolivar U19 12.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 ✓ Pick 72.2%
X 18.3%
2 9.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 2 : 2 Bolivar U19
11.33
X5.83
210.20

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Football, Gremio - Bolivar, 31 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Gremio - Bolivar, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup 2026, round of 32. 2 match.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 69.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.290 / LogLoss 2.123
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 69.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.290 / LogLoss 2.123
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 69.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.290 / LogLoss 2.123
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 69.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.290 / LogLoss 2.123
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 71.8% 69.3% market and model agree
Draw 18.6% 18.8% draw risk
Bolivar U19 9.6% 12.0%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 69.3% / 18.8% / 12.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,263 / 1,557 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· / Bolivar U19
RD 234 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 794-1,732 / 973-2,140 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.30 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 12.0%
X 5.07 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.30 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 69.3%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 81.2%
1X 1.04 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 88.0%
X2 3.23 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 30.7%
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 4.70 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 1.75 57.1%
yes 4.70 21.3% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
x2 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.72 58.1%
X 2.65 37.7%
8.90 11.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 5.0 gls
2026-07-23 Β· Gremio PA 2:3 Bolivar La-Pas
Source: ruscore

Odds Β· 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.34 (Winline) Β· X 5.4 (Winline) Β· 2 9.4 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.33 5.1 9
Winline 1.34 5.4 8.6
Fonbet 1.33 5.1 9
Betcity 1.32 5 9.4
Liga Stavok 1.32 4.9 7.8
Source: ruscore Β· line comparison
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
L
23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 2:3 Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Bolivar U19
W
23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Bolivar U19 3:2 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· - Bolivar U19

Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
1 matches total
Bolivar U19
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bolivar U19: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄ 2:3 (23.07 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 23.07 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.07 20:00 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
2:3
Bolivar πŸ‡§πŸ‡΄
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡·
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Bolivar U19
Gremio πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Team comparison Bolivar U19
7 Games 1
3 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
10 Scored 3
6 Conceded 2
11 Points 3
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
13 Shots on goal 31
4 Shots on target 10
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Gremio Bolivar 7 Games 1 3 Wins 1 2 Draws 0 2 Losses 0 10 Scored 3 6 Conceded 2 11 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 13 Shots on goal 31 4 Udary v stvor 10 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.14 Uglovye 6 0.29 Offsaydy 1 8.86 Foly 12 59 % vladeniya myachom 56 2.57 Warnings 0.29 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Luish Kashtru Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 80% 0% 20% Double chance 40% 50% 10% Materialy po prognozam Β«BaiyaΒ» β€” Β«GremioΒ». Luis Suares ne sbavlyaet Β«GremioΒ» β€” Β«KoritibaΒ». Luis Suares legendaren! Β«GremioΒ» β€” Β«Amerika MineyroΒ». Suares podgotovit Bitelo k novomu vyzovu Β«FlamengoΒ» β€” Β«GremioΒ». Luis Suares zastavit Ayrtona nervnichat CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317590' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');