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South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
28.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff

Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ - Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·

Football
S
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ
- : -
Not started
L
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· β€” 57%

1 Β· Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ25.2%
X Β· draw18.3%
2 Β· Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· ✓ Pick56.5%

Model estimate: win Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ 25.2%, draw 18.3%, win Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 56.5%. Model favourite β€” Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· (odds1.77) Score 1:2 confidence 57%
  • Model backs Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·: probability 57% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ - Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.50 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 43.4%
X 27.3%
2 ✓ Pick 29.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ - Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ - 25.2%
Draw - 18.3% draw risk
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· - 56.5% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.2% / 18.3% / 56.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,658 Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ / Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 760-1,924 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus Β· weak value +79.7% Β· model 56.5%
X 3.43 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.15 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 25.2%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus Β· value +4.6% Β· model 81.7%
1X 1.32 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 43.5%
X2 1.64 market consensus Β· value +22.7% Β· model 74.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.29 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 1.58 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.34 74.6%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.63 61.4%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1%
2.35 42.6% 2.23 44.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5%
Under 2.5 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6%
3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-23 Β· Sensiano 0:2 Lanus
Source: ruscore
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ
L
22.07 22:30 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ 0:2 Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
W
22.07 22:30 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 2:0 Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ - Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·

Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ
1 matches total
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· 0:2 (22.07 22:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 22.07 22:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw β€” draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.07 22:30 UTC South AMERIKA: Yuzhnoamerikanskiy Cup - Playoff
Sensiano πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ͺ
0:2
Lanus πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·