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AHL
AHL USA
06.05.2026 02:00 UTC Divisional Round
Finished

AHL

USA

Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

USA Hockey
Coachella Valley Firebirds
Coachella Valley Firebirds
1 : 2
Finished
Ontario Reign
Ontario Reign

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign May 6, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ontario Reign. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 4.40 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 48.3%
1 27.5%
X 15.3%
2 57.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

AHL

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betsson Everygame Fonbet
2.45 40.8% 131.00 0.8% 1.17 85.8% 51.00 2.0% 2.10 47.6% 131.00 0.8%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4% 4.10 24.4% 4.40 22.7%
2.20 45.5% 1.18 84.8% 51.00 2.0% 1.14 87.7% 2.55 39.2% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Coachella Valley Firebirds
L W
02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds 1:5 Ontario Reign
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:0 Ontario Reign
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Ontario Reign
W L
02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Ontario Reign 5:1 Coachella Valley Firebirds
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Ontario Reign 0:3 Coachella Valley Firebirds
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCoachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

Coachella Valley Firebirds
2 matches total
Ontario Reign
Coachella Valley Firebirds: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ontario Reign: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Ontario Reign 1:5 (02.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 02.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 4

Match history

02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds
1:5
Ontario Reign
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds
3:0
Ontario Reign