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AHL
AHL USA
08.05.2026 02:00 UTC Divisional Round
Finished

AHL

USA

Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

USA Hockey
Coachella Valley Firebirds
Coachella Valley Firebirds
6 : 2
Finished
Ontario Reign
Ontario Reign

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign May 8, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / X 1.05 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.6%
1 11.8%
X 78.9%
2 9.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

AHL

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.45 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 5.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 1.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.35 74.1%
3.80 26.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.63 38.1%
2.25 44.4%
2.90 34.5%
1.74 57.4%
1.79 55.9%
1.20 83.3%
2.08 48.1%
1.60 62.5% 2.01 49.8%
1.42 70.4% 1.62 61.9%
1.05 95.7%
1.83 54.6%
1.71 58.7%
1.55 64.5%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.9%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4 2.19 45.7%
Over 4.5 2.20 45.5% 9.26 10.8%
Over 5 1.78 56.2%
Over 5.25 1.93 51.8%
Over 5.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 6 1.61 62.3%
Over 6.5 1.80 55.6% 1.28 78.1%
Over 8.5 12.60 7.9%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 4.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 6.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betsson Everygame Fonbet MelBet
18.00 5.6% 6.25 16.0% 7.00 14.3% 2.40 41.7% 17.00 5.9% 18.00 5.6%
X 1.04 96.2% 1.33 75.4% 1.17 85.5% 4.00 25.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2%
19.90 5.0% 5.25 19.1% 9.00 11.1% 2.10 47.6% 16.00 6.3% 19.90 5.0%
Match center
Coachella Valley Firebirds
L L W
06.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds 1:2 Ontario Reign
02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds 1:5 Ontario Reign
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds 3:0 Ontario Reign
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Ontario Reign
W W L
06.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Ontario Reign 2:1 Coachella Valley Firebirds
02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Ontario Reign 5:1 Coachella Valley Firebirds
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Ontario Reign 0:3 Coachella Valley Firebirds
2 Wins
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCoachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign

Coachella Valley Firebirds
3 matches total
Ontario Reign
Coachella Valley Firebirds: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ontario Reign: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Ontario Reign 1:5 (02.05 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 02.05 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 5

Match history

06.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds
1:2
Ontario Reign
02.05 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds
1:5
Ontario Reign
30.04 02:00 UTC AHL
Coachella Valley Firebirds
3:0
Ontario Reign