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AHL
AHL USA
07.05.2026 23:05 UTC Divisional Round
Finished

AHL

USA

Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins

USA Hockey
Springfield Thunderbirds
Springfield Thunderbirds
1 : 0
Finished
Providence Bruins
Providence Bruins

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins May 7, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Providence Bruins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.25 / X 4.30 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 27.7%
X 20.9%
2 51.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.05.2026 23:05 UTC
Match center

Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins

AHL

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Everygame Fonbet
3.44 29.1% 1.80 55.6% 3.25 30.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%
1.79 55.9% 3.20 31.3% 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Springfield Thunderbirds
W L W
05.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds 3:2 Providence Bruins
03.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds 1:2 Providence Bruins
01.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds 3:2 Providence Bruins
2 Wins
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Providence Bruins
L W L
05.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Providence Bruins 2:3 Springfield ThunderbirdsSpringfield Thunderbirds
03.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Providence Bruins 2:1 Springfield ThunderbirdsSpringfield Thunderbirds
01.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Providence Bruins 2:3 Springfield ThunderbirdsSpringfield Thunderbirds
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpringfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins

Springfield Thunderbirds
3 matches total
Providence Bruins
Springfield Thunderbirds: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Providence Bruins: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Springfield Thunderbirds 3:2 (05.05 23:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 05.05 23:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 7

Match history

05.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds
3:2
Providence Bruins
03.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds
1:2
Providence Bruins
01.05 23:05 UTC AHL
Springfield Thunderbirds
3:2
Providence Bruins