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Australia. AIHL League
Australia. AIHL League International
02.08.2026 04:00 UTC
02.08.2026 04:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. AIHL League

International

Melbourne Ice - Sydney Bears

International Hockey
Melbourne Ice
Melbourne Ice
- : -
Not started
Sydney Bears
Sydney Bears

Melbourne Ice go head-to-head with Sydney Bears on August 2, 2026 in the Australia. AIHL League, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Melbourne Ice 1-0-0, Sydney Bears 0-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Melbourne Ice — 52%

1 · Melbourne Ice52.2%
2 · Sydney Bears47.8%

Model estimate: win Melbourne Ice 52.2%, win Sydney Bears 47.8%. Model favourite — Melbourne Ice.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Melbourne Ice (odds1.30) Score 3:2 Under 10.5 (odds1.65) Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.95) confidence 52%
  • • Melburn Ays: forma V (1-0)
  • • Sidney Bears: forma pp (0-2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.35→1.33 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Melburn Ays: probability 52% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-25 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 10.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 10.5 (odds 1.65)
  • • Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.95).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne Ice - Sydney Bears August 2, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbourne Ice. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 6.60 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 69.0%
X 14.1%
2 16.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.35 → 1.35
1X2 X 5.90 ↑ 6.60
1X2 P2 5.70 ↓ 5.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 04:00 UTC
Market 1 69.0% @ 1.35 / X 14.1% @ 6.60 / 2 16.9% @ 5.50
Form 3 matches
Match center

Melbourne Ice - Sydney Bears

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Melbourne Ice 69.0% 52.2% market and model agree
Draw 14.1% -
Sydney Bears 16.9% 47.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 52.2% / 47.8% probabilities
Rating 1,757 / 1,223 Melbourne Ice / Sydney Bears
RD 258 / 243 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,240-2,273 / 736-1,710 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +163.1% · model 47.8%
X 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
Handicap
2 0 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.80 35.7%
3.85 26.0%
5.50 18.2%
1.17 85.5%
2.75 36.4%
2.10 47.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.22 82.0%
1.11 90.1%
4.40 22.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 7.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 8.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 9.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 10.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 11.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 12.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 13.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 6.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 7.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 8.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 9.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 10.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 11.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 12.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 13.5 1.12 89.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
X 6.60 15.2%
5.50 18.2%
Match center
Melbourne Ice
W
01.08 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Melbourne Ice 5:1 Sidney Ays DogsSidney Ays Dogs
1 Wins
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sydney Bears
L L
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Bears 3:5 Sidney Ays DogsSidney Ays Dogs
11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Bears 3:6 Nyukasl Nort StarNyukasl Nort Star
0 Wins
2 Losses
3.0 Scored
5.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage