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Australia. AIHL League International

02.08.2026 06:00 UTC

Not started

Australia. AIHL League

Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder

International Hockey

Newcastle North Stars

- : -

Not started

Perth Thunder

Newcastle North Stars face Perth Thunder on August 2, 2026 in the Australia. AIHL League, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Newcastle North Stars 3-0-0, Perth Thunder 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Newcastle North Stars — 52%

1 · Newcastle North Stars52.2%

2 · Perth Thunder47.8%

Model estimate: win Newcastle North Stars 52.2%, win Perth Thunder 47.8%. Model favourite — Newcastle North Stars.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Newcastle North Stars (odds1.55) Score 3:2 Under 9.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds2.00) confidence 52%

• Nyukasl Nort Star: forma VVV (3-0)
• Pert Tander: forma PN (0-1)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• liniya na pik P1 1.58→1.57 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Nyukasl Nort Star: probability 52% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
• no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 3:2
• Total: Under 9.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 9.5 (odds 1.85)
• Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder August 2, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Newcastle North Stars. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 5.70 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 56.3%

X 16.3%

2 27.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.58 ↓ 1.57

1X2 X 5.40 → 5.40

1X2 P2 3.80 ↑ 3.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 06:00 UTC

Market 1 56.3% @ 1.65 / X 16.3% @ 5.70 / 2 27.3% @ 3.40

Form 5 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/1 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament espn, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report

Referees Championat

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Newcastle North Stars 59.1% 52.2% market and model agree

Draw 17.2% -

Perth Thunder 23.8% 47.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / P2 52.2% / 47.8% probabilities

Rating 1,843 / 1,415 Newcastle North Stars / Perth Thunder

RD 240 / 233 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,363-2,322 / 949-1,880 strength interval

HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.40 Fonbet · weak value +62.4% · model 47.8%

X 5.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.65 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%

Handicap

2 0 2.75 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 10.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Over 11.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.12 89.3%
	1.83 54.6%
	2.35 42.6%
	3.25 30.8%
	4.60 21.7%
	1.40 71.4%
	5.40 18.5%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.52 65.8%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.16 86.2%
	2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 6.5	1.13 88.5%
Over 7.5	1.27 78.7%
Over 8.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 9.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 10.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 11.5	3.25 30.8%
Over 12.5	4.60 21.7%
Under 6.5	5.10 19.6%
Under 7.5	3.45 29.0%
Under 8.5	2.40 41.7%
Under 9.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 10.5	1.50 66.7%
Under 11.5	1.30 76.9%
Under 12.5	1.16 86.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.65 60.6%
X	5.70 17.5%
	3.40 29.4%

Match center

Newcastle North Stars

W W W

25.07 08:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League

Newcastle North Stars 8:3 Pert Tander

18.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League

Newcastle North Stars 7:3 Adelaida Adrenalin

11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League

Newcastle North Stars 6:3 Sidney Bears

3 Wins

0 Losses

7.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Perth Thunder

25.07 08:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League

Perth Thunder 3:8 Nyukasl Nort Star

0 Wins

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

8.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder

Newcastle North Stars

1 matches total

Perth Thunder

Newcastle North Stars: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Perth Thunder: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nyukasl Nort Star 8:3 (25.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 11 goals (8:3, 25.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.07 08:00 UTC

Australia. AIHL League

Nyukasl Nort Star

8:3

Pert Tander