PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Australia. AIHL League
Australia. AIHL League International
08.08.2026 08:00 UTC
08.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. AIHL League

International

Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs

International Hockey
Perth Thunder
Perth Thunder
- : -
Not started
Melbourne Mustangs
Melbourne Mustangs

Perth Thunder face Melbourne Mustangs on August 8, 2026 in the Australia. AIHL League, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Perth Thunder 0-0-2, Melbourne Mustangs 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Melbourne Mustangs — 51%

1 · Perth Thunder49.1%
2 · Melbourne Mustangs50.9%

Model estimate: win Perth Thunder 49.1%, win Melbourne Mustangs 50.9%. Model favourite — Melbourne Mustangs.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs August 8, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Perth Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.13 / X 5.20 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 43.5%
X 17.8%
2 38.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.15 → 2.15
1X2 X 4.90 → 4.90
1X2 P2 2.40 → 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 08.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 43.5% @ 2.13 / X 17.8% @ 5.20 / 2 38.6% @ 2.40
Form 4 matches
Match center

Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Perth Thunder 42.8% 49.1% market favourite
Draw 18.8% -
Melbourne Mustangs 38.4% 50.9% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.1% / 50.9% probabilities
Rating 1,393 / 1,625 Perth Thunder / Melbourne Mustangs
RD 222 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 950-1,837 / 1,046-2,203 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 Fonbet · value +22.3% · model 50.9%
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 2.13 Fonbet · weak value +4.5% · model 49.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.19 84.0%
2.55 39.2%
3.55 28.2%
5.20 19.2%
1.75 57.1%
2.90 34.5%
4.20 23.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.12 89.3%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 7.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 8.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 9.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 10.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 11.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 12.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 6.5 5.10 19.6%
Under 7.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 8.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 9.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 10.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 11.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 12.5 1.15 87.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.13 47.0%
X 5.20 19.2%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Perth Thunder
L L
02.08 06:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Perth Thunder 2:4 Nyukasl Nort StarNyukasl Nort Star
25.07 08:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Perth Thunder 3:8 Nyukasl Nort StarNyukasl Nort Star
0 Wins
2 Losses
2.5 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Melbourne Mustangs
W
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Melbourne Mustangs 8:3 Brisben LaytningBrisben Laytning
1 Wins
0 Losses
8.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage