Sydney Bears meet Central Coast Rhinos on August 9, 2026 in the Australia. AIHL League, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sydney Bears 1-0-2, Central Coast Rhinos 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Central Coast Rhinos — 51%
51%2
1 · Sydney Bears49.5%
2 · Central Coast Rhinos50.5%
Model estimate: win Sydney Bears 49.5%, win Central Coast Rhinos 50.5%. Model favourite — Central Coast Rhinos.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sydney Bears - Central Coast Rhinos August 9, 2026
Hockey math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sydney Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 7.30 / 2 4.90
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
168.5%
X12.7%
218.9%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.35→ 1.35
1X2 X7.30→ 7.30
1X2 P24.90→ 4.90
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form3/2
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
Tournamentespn, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, goalie report
RefereesChampionat
Market and Glicko
Hockey math model.
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Sydney Bears68.5%49.5%market favourite
Draw12.7%-
Central Coast Rhinos18.9%50.5%Glicko contrarian
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Hockey math model
P1 / P249.5% / 50.5%
probabilities
Rating1,531 / 1,655
Sydney Bears / Central Coast Rhinos
RD235 / 234
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,061-2,001 / 1,187-2,124
strength interval
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.90
Fonbet · weak value +147.5% · model 50.5%
X7.30
Fonbet · line only
11.35
Fonbet · no value · model 49.5%
Handicap
2 04.05
Fonbet · line only
1 01.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.52.40
Fonbet · line only
Over 11.53.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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