Australia. AIHL League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Perth Thunder — 51%
Model estimate: win Sydney Bears 49.1%, win Perth Thunder 50.9%. Model favourite — Perth Thunder.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 1.18 84.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 6.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 7.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 8.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 9.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 10.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 11.5 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 5.90 17.0% |
| Under 6.5 | 3.85 26.0% |
| Under 7.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 9.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 10.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Under 11.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| X | 5.60 17.9% |
| 1.40 71.4% |
Sydney Bears
Sidney Ays Dogs
Nyukasl Nort Star
Perth Thunder
Nyukasl Nort Star
Full head-to-head historySydney Bears - Perth Thunder
The Sydney Bears - Perth Thunder breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
