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Australia. AIHL League
Australia. AIHL League International
08.08.2026 07:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
08.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. AIHL League

Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars

International Hockey
Sydney Ice Dogs
Sydney Ice Dogs
- : -
Not started
Newcastle North Stars
Newcastle North Stars

Sydney Ice Dogs go head-to-head with Newcastle North Stars on August 8, 2026 in the Australia. AIHL League, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sydney Ice Dogs 2-0-2, Newcastle North Stars 4-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Newcastle North Stars — 53%

1 · Sydney Ice Dogs46.7%
2 · Newcastle North Stars53.3%

Model estimate: win Sydney Ice Dogs 46.7%, win Newcastle North Stars 53.3%. Model favourite — Newcastle North Stars.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars August 8, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Newcastle North Stars. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / X 4.90 / 2 2.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 37.0%
X 18.9%
2 44.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.40 ↑ 2.50
1X2 X 5.00 ↓ 4.90
1X2 P2 2.15 ↓ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sydney Ice Dogs
5-5WWWLWLLLWL
scored 5.2conceded 4.6
Newcastle North Stars

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 08.08.2026 07:00 UTC
Market 1 37.0% @ 2.50 / X 18.9% @ 4.90 / 2 44.1% @ 2.10
Form 6 matches
Match center

Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sydney Ice Dogs 37.0% 46.7%
Draw 18.9% -
Newcastle North Stars 44.1% 53.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 46.7% / 53.3% probabilities
Rating 1,526 / 1,865 Sydney Ice Dogs / Newcastle North Stars
RD 138 / 228 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,250-1,801 / 1,410-2,320 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · value +12.0% · model 53.3%
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 2.50 Fonbet · weak value +16.7% · model 46.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.12 89.3%
3.10 32.3%
4.50 22.2%
2.02 49.5%
2.50 40.0%
3.60 27.8%
5.40 18.5%
1.32 75.8%
1.16 86.2%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 7.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 8.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 9.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 10.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 11.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 6.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 7.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 8.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 9.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 10.5 1.32 75.8%
Under 11.5 1.18 84.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
X 4.90 20.4%
2.10 47.6%
Match center
Sydney Ice Dogs
L W L W
01.08 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 1:5 Melburn AysMelburn Ays
25.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 5:3 Sidney BearsSidney Bears
18.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 2:5 Sentral Kost RaynosSentral Kost Raynos
11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 9:7 Brisben LaytningBrisben Laytning
2 Wins
2 Losses
4.3 Scored
5.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Newcastle North Stars
W W W W
02.08 06:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Newcastle North Stars 4:2 Pert TanderPert Tander
25.07 08:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Newcastle North Stars 8:3 Pert TanderPert Tander
18.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Newcastle North Stars 7:3 Adelaida AdrenalinAdelaida Adrenalin
11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Newcastle North Stars 6:3 Sidney BearsSidney Bears
4 Wins
0 Losses
6.3 Scored
2.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage