Match center
Start
04.07.2026 04:45 UTC
04.07.2026 04:45 UTC
Finished
Australia: Avstraliyskaya khokkeynaya liga (AIHL)
Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline
5
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline July 4, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 1.53 / 2 5.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
23.4%
X
60.4%
2
16.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Brisbane Lightning
5-5LWLWWWLLLW
scored 6.2conceded 7.0
Adelaide Adrenaline
1-9LLLLLLWLLL
scored 2.7conceded 5.8
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Form and head-to-head • AIHL
Team stats
Brisbane Lightning
LLWLWWWLLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:6.4 : 7.6
Adelaide Adrenaline
LLLLLLWLLL
W 1 • D 0 • L 9 (10)
Goals average:2.7 : 5.8
Head-to-head: 8 — Brisbane Lightning 5, draws 0, Adelaide Adrenaline 3 (goals 28:26)
- Brisbane Lightning — Adelaide Adrenaline2025-07-27 3:7
- Brisbane Lightning — Adelaide Adrenaline2025-07-26 3:4
- Adelaide Adrenaline — Brisbane Lightning2025-07-06 2:4
- Adelaide Adrenaline — Brisbane Lightning2025-07-05 4:7
- Brisbane Lightning — Adelaide Adrenaline2024-08-04 2:1
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Brisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.70
Fonbet · line only
X
1.53
Fonbet · line only
1
3.95
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.25
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.58
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5
3.00
Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5
3.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 3.70 27.0% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 6.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 7.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 8.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 9.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 10.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 11.5 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 12.5 | 6.70 14.9% |
| Over 13.5 | 4.60 21.7% |
| Over 14.5 | 5.70 17.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 6.70 14.9% |
| Under 5.5 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Under 10.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 11.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 12.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Under 13.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Under 14.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| X | 1.53 65.4% |
| 5.70 17.5% |
Match center
Brisbane Lightning
W
W
L
W
L
Brisbane Lightning
13:7
Central Coast Rhinos
Central Coast Rhinos
Brisbane Lightning
11:6
Central Coast Rhinos
Central Coast Rhinos
Brisbane Lightning
7:8
Sidney Ays Dogs
Sidney Ays Dogs
Brisbane Lightning
7:3
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Brisbane Lightning
0:10
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
3
Wins
2
Losses
7.6
Scored
6.8
Conceded
60%
Win percentage
Adelaide Adrenaline
L
L
L
L
L
Adelaide Adrenaline
4:6
SBR Breyv
SBR Breyv
Adelaide Adrenaline
0:5
SBR Breyv
SBR Breyv
Adelaide Adrenaline
3:4
Pert
Pert
Adelaide Adrenaline
3:4
Pert
Pert
Adelaide Adrenaline
5:9
Melburn Ays
Melburn Ays
0
Wins
5
Losses
3.0
Scored
5.6
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBrisbane Lightning - Adelaide Adrenaline
Brisbane Lightning
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals