AI verdict

AI pick Metallurg Zhlobin win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.85

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Metallurg Zhlobin. Full breakdown below.

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Belarus: Cup - Play-off
Belarus: Cup - Play-off
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 16:00 UTC
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Belarus: Cup - Play-off

Metallurg Zhlobin - Dynamo-Molodechno

Hockey
Metallurg Zhlobin
Metallurg Zhlobin
- : -
Not started
Dynamo-Molodechno
Dynamo-Molodechno

Metallurg Zhlobin meet Dynamo-Molodechno on August 28, 2026 in the Belarus: Cup - Play-off.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Metallurg Zhlobin56%

1 · Metallurg Zhlobin ✓ Pick56.2%
2 · Dynamo-Molodechno43.8%

Model estimate: win Metallurg Zhlobin 56.2%, win Dynamo-Molodechno 43.8%. Model favourite — Metallurg Zhlobin.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metallurg Zhlobin - Dynamo-Molodechno August 28, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Metallurg Zhlobin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / X 4.05 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 50.0%
X 22.8%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.85 → 1.85
1X2 X 4.05 → 4.05
1X2 P2 3.40 → 3.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Metallurg Zhlobin
5-5LWWLLWLWLW
scored 2.7conceded 2.3
Dynamo-Molodechno
3-7LWLLLLLLWW
scored 2.2conceded 3.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.85 / X 22.8% @ 4.05 / 2 27.2% @ 3.40
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Metallurg Zhlobin 56%
💹 Market Metallurg Zhlobin 50%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Metallurg Zhlobin - Dynamo-Molodechno

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Metallurg Zhlobin 50.0% 56.2% market and model agree
Draw 22.8% -
Dynamo-Molodechno 27.2% 43.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 56.2% / 43.8% probabilities
Rating 1,794 / 1,469 Metallurg Zhlobin / Dynamo-Molodechno
RD 176 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,442-2,146 / 1,151-1,786 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
X 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.85 Fonbet · weak value +4.0% · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.64 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.12 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Over 3 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.17 85.5%
1.15 87.0%
2.12 47.2%
2.45 40.8%
3.35 29.9%
3.85 26.0%
1.45 69.0%
4.40 22.7%
4.80 20.8%
1.64 61.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.28 78.1%
1.22 82.0%
2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 4 1.37 73.0%
Over 4.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 5 1.95 51.3%
Over 5.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 6 3.05 32.8%
Over 6.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 7 4.90 20.4%
Over 7.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 3 5.30 18.9%
Under 3.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 4 2.85 35.1%
Under 4.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 5 1.75 57.1%
Under 5.5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
X 4.05 24.7%
3.40 29.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Metallurg ZhlobinLWWWWWWWWW
Dynamo-MolodechnoWLWWLLLLLL
H2H 5-0-5, avg 5.8 gls
2026-02-17 · Metallurg Zhlobin 6:1 Dinamo Molodechno
2026-02-15 · Metallurg Zhlobin 2:7 Dinamo Molodechno
2025-10-20 · Metallurg Zhlobin 4:3 Dinamo Molodechno
2025-10-18 · Metallurg Zhlobin 0:3 Dinamo Molodechno
2025-02-07 · Metallurg Zhlobin 1:2 Dinamo Molodechno
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Winline) · X 4.06 (Winline) · 2 3.4 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 1.85 4.06 3.4
Liga Stavok 1.84 4 3.25
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Metallurg Zhlobin
W L W W W
25.08 10:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
Metallurg Zhlobin 5:4 Yunost MinskYunost Minsk
18.08 14:55 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Metallurg Zhlobin 2:3 SlavutichSlavutich
16.08 14:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Metallurg Zhlobin 2:1 GomelGomel
11.08 15:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
Metallurg Zhlobin 4:0 KhK MogilevKhK Mogilev
11.08 15:30 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Metallurg Zhlobin 4:0 MogilevMogilev
4 Wins
1 Losses
3.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Dynamo-Molodechno
D L W W W
24.08 14:55 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Dynamo-Molodechno 1:1 Neman GrodnoNeman Grodno
19.08 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Dynamo-Molodechno 3:5 BrestBrest
17.08 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Dynamo-Molodechno 3:2 AviatorAviator
12.08 17:10 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Dynamo-Molodechno 6:2 LidaLida
10.08 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup
Dynamo-Molodechno 3:2 Yunost MinskYunost Minsk
3 Wins
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Metallurg Zhlobin vs Dynamo-Molodechno start?

August 28, 2026.