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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

HC Aviator Baranovichi - HC Lida

International Hockey
HC Aviator Baranovichi
HC Aviator Baranovichi
- : -
Not started
HC Lida
HC Lida

HC Aviator Baranovichi go head-to-head with HC Lida on August 3, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 HC Lida — 51%

1 · HC Aviator Baranovichi49.4%
2 · HC Lida50.6%

Model estimate: win HC Aviator Baranovichi 49.4%, win HC Lida 50.6%. Model favourite — HC Lida.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HC Aviator Baranovichi - HC Lida August 3, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: HC Lida. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / X 4.40 / 2 2.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 36.6%
X 20.8%
2 42.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.50 → 2.50
1X2 X 4.40 → 4.40
1X2 P2 2.15 → 2.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 36.6% @ 2.50 / X 20.8% @ 4.40 / 2 42.6% @ 2.15
Form 3 matches
Match center

HC Aviator Baranovichi - HC Lida

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HC Aviator Baranovichi 36.6% 49.4%
Draw 20.8% -
HC Lida 42.6% 50.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.4% / 50.6% probabilities
Rating 1,327 / 1,500 HC Aviator Baranovichi / HC Lida
RD 106 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,115-1,538 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 Fonbet · value +8.8% · model 50.6%
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.50 Fonbet · weak value +23.5% · model 49.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.25 80.0%
2.90 34.5%
3.20 31.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.45 40.8%
2.75 36.4%
3.70 27.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 6 2.10 47.6%
Over 6.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 7 3.25 30.8%
Under 4.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 5 2.40 41.7%
Under 5.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 6 1.65 60.6%
Under 6.5 1.47 68.0%
Under 7 1.30 76.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
X 4.40 22.7%
2.15 46.5%
Match center
HC Aviator Baranovichi
W D L L L
29.07 08:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
HC Aviator Baranovichi 5:2 Lida 🇧🇾Lida 🇧🇾
23.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
HC Aviator Baranovichi 1:1 Lida 🇧🇾Lida 🇧🇾
18.07 09:00 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
HC Aviator Baranovichi 0:2 NeftyanikNeftyanik
18.07 07:30 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
HC Aviator Baranovichi 1:5 Rysi
17.07 09:00 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
HC Aviator Baranovichi 3:7 Aviator
1 Wins
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
HC Lida
W D L
29.07 08:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 5:2 Lida 🇧🇾Lida 🇧🇾
23.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 1:1 Lida 🇧🇾Lida 🇧🇾
18.07 09:00 UTC+0 Short-Hockey. RHL
HC Lida 0:2 NeftyanikNeftyanik
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage