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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

HC Gomel - HC Mogilev

International Hockey
HC Gomel
HC Gomel
- : -
Not started
HC Mogilev
HC Mogilev

HC Gomel take on HC Mogilev on August 4, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): HC Gomel 0-0-1, HC Mogilev 0-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 HC Gomel — 50%

1 · HC Gomel50.0%
2 · HC Mogilev50.0%

Model estimate: win HC Gomel 50.0%, win HC Mogilev 50.0%. Model favourite — HC Gomel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1HC Gomel (odds1.40) Score 3:2 Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.95) confidence 50%
  • • KhK Gomel: forma P (0-1)
  • • KhK Mogilev: forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs KhK Gomel: probability 50% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-21 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.95).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HC Gomel - HC Mogilev August 4, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: HC Gomel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 5.30 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 65.4%
X 17.3%
2 17.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.40 → 1.40
1X2 X 5.30 → 5.30
1X2 P2 5.30 → 5.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 65.4% @ 1.40 / X 17.3% @ 5.30 / 2 17.3% @ 5.30
Form 2 matches
Match center

HC Gomel - HC Mogilev

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HC Gomel 65.4% 50.0% market and model agree
Draw 17.3% -
HC Mogilev 17.3% 50.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.0% / 50.0% probabilities
Rating 1,327 / 1,368 HC Gomel / HC Mogilev
RD 281 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 764-1,889 / 791-1,946 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · weak value +164.9% · model 50.0%
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.75 57.1%
2.12 47.2%
2.50 40.0%
1.19 84.0%
2.40 41.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.64 61.0%
1.45 69.0%
4.20 23.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 5 1.77 56.5%
Over 5.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 6 2.70 37.0%
Over 6.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 7 4.40 22.7%
Under 4.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 5 1.93 51.8%
Under 5.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 6 1.40 71.4%
Under 6.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 7 1.17 85.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
X 5.30 18.9%
5.30 18.9%
Match center
HC Gomel
L
02.08 11:00 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
HC Gomel 1:2 Slavutich Smolensk
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
HC Mogilev
L
02.08 10:00 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
HC Mogilev 0:4 KhK Vitebsk
0 Wins
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHC Gomel - HC Mogilev

HC Gomel
0 matches total
HC Mogilev
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history