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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

Neman Grodno - HC Aviator Baranovichi

International Hockey
Neman Grodno
Neman Grodno
- : -
Not started
HC Aviator Baranovichi
HC Aviator Baranovichi

Neman Grodno go head-to-head with HC Aviator Baranovichi on August 5, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Neman Grodno 1-0-0, HC Aviator Baranovichi 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Neman Grodno — 53%

1 · Neman Grodno53.0%
2 · HC Aviator Baranovichi47.0%

Model estimate: win Neman Grodno 53.0%, win HC Aviator Baranovichi 47.0%. Model favourite — Neman Grodno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Neman Grodno (odds1.35) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +2 (odds1.85) confidence 50%
  • • Neman Grodno: forma PVVV (3-1)
  • • KhK Aviator Baranovichi: forma PVNPP (1-3-1)
  • • Model backs Neman Grodno: probability 50% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-24 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +2: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neman Grodno - HC Aviator Baranovichi August 5, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neman Grodno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 5.20 / 2 6.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 68.0%
X 17.7%
2 14.3%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.35 → 1.35
1X2 X 5.20 → 5.20
1X2 P2 6.40 → 6.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 68.0% @ 1.35 / X 17.7% @ 5.20 / 2 14.3% @ 6.40
Form 6 matches
Match center

Neman Grodno - HC Aviator Baranovichi

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Neman Grodno 68.0% 53.0% market and model agree
Draw 17.7% -
HC Aviator Baranovichi 14.3% 47.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 53.0% / 47.0% probabilities
Rating 1,481 / 1,307 Neman Grodno / HC Aviator Baranovichi
RD 207 / 104 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,068-1,895 / 1,099-1,514 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.40 Fonbet · weak value +200.7% · model 47.0%
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.62 61.7%
1.85 54.1%
2.15 46.5%
2.95 33.9%
3.50 28.6%
2.60 38.5%
2.15 46.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 5 1.57 63.7%
Over 5.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 6 2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 7 3.55 28.2%
Under 4.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 5 2.25 44.4%
Under 5.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 6 1.57 63.7%
Under 6.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 7 1.25 80.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
X 5.20 19.2%
6.40 15.6%
Match center
Neman Grodno
W
03.08 17:10 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
Neman Grodno 2:1 Shakhter Soligorsk
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
HC Aviator Baranovichi
L
03.08 16:00 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
HC Aviator Baranovichi 1:2 KhK LidaKhK Lida
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage